Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64aec8bc5dfebcae7bcb29dbcf3d9241c6f702420e7f87905285121b6bd31d46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,609
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x340f…a21bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,947$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…5198backed Yes | 2c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,401 | 27.3%383 W · 1,018 L | +69.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed No | 77c | 766.3$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.65 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 23c | 743.29$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.64 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed Yes | 15c | 691.05$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.89 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ce…27a2backed Yes | 18c | 470.82$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.34 | 553 | 36.7%203 W · 350 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 23c | 405.91$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.78 | 339 | 29.5%100 W · 239 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…e046backed Yes | 12c | 299.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 569 | 21.8%124 W · 445 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…1496backed Yes | 10c | 279.64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d5…33fdbacked Yes | 11c | 255.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 308 | 32.5%100 W · 208 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad50…3122backed Yes | 16c | 220.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.28 | 474 | 23.6%112 W · 362 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 25c | 216.72$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.86 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 12c | 208.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc1…2ababacked Yes | 8c | 205.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 202.48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b26…f009backed Yes | 30c | 198.46$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 197.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4d41…8233backed No | 72c | 196.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbe…4d88backed Yes | 24c | 194.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.09 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 34cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x813c…1cd1backed Yes | 27c | 171.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…4a56backed Yes | 21c | 166.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…3d4ebacked Yes | 13c | 154.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…46bebacked Yes | 32c | 150$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 12c | 128.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 76c | 127.73$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…f27ebacked Yes | 38c | 123.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e22…184abacked Yes | 48c | 121.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…1689backed Yes | 18c | 109.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 474 | 32.5%154 W · 320 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…889abacked Yes | 27c | 102.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ea…1e83backed No | 76c | 101.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.39per pick | 46cpaid | +90%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 24c | 100.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8aa…48ccbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 22%20 W · 71 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cfccbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd777…f2f6backed Yes | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…7566backed Yes | 30c | 99.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8b98…2748backed Yes | 11c | 95.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f0…22e0backed Yes | 22c | 90.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b42…7cbebacked Yes | 39c | 83.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…1349backed No | 66c | 71.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 271 | 67.2%182 W · 89 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 71.37$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.77 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 74c | 68.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x112a…b221backed No | 80c | 67.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d78…e218backed Yes | 28c | 66.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1304…751ebacked No | 77c | 63.85$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…91cdbacked Yes | 30c | 62.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 22c | 57.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 22c | 52.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 52.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…19abbacked Yes | 48c | 50.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…15edbacked Yes | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +10.5wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +67%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6fea…be32backed Yes | 38c | 49.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa493…1b55backed Yes | 34c | 45.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 269 | 33.1%89 W · 180 L | +21.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…8c1cbacked Yes | 26c | 41.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 375 | 32.8%123 W · 252 L | +36.4wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 661 | 41.8%276 W · 385 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee9…014bbacked No | 66c | 39.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5245…00c4backed Yes | 32c | 38.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 296 | 40.5%120 W · 176 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…107ebacked No | 78c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 261 | 69.3%181 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…67a8backed No | 78c | 38.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 154 | 77.9%120 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 75cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 75c | 37.82$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…54abbacked No | 75c | 37.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…589cbacked No | 78c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 60c | 28.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 175 | 70.3%123 W · 52 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ed…b814backed No | 77c | 28.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed No | 77c | 28.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a09…263dbacked No | 70c | 27.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 76c | 27.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bd…b85abacked No | 73c | 26.74$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4475…b483backed No | 70c | 23.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…07fcbacked No | 71c | 21.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d0abbacked No | 74c | 20.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…15eabacked No | 67c | 20.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3b…22aebacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 344 | 57%196 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 65c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 74c | 19.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…b345backed No | 78c | 12.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C or higher on April 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.