NHL · resolved market
KHL: Torpedo vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4880cc27dcf24904e65fe05d0de9a00309389c35fefa4088fe8d70ba93c6d327
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Torpedoof Torpedo, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,484
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7376…4f46backed HC Sochi | 26c | 2,800$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed HC Sochi | 26c | 2,100$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Torpedo | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Torpedo | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Torpedo | 77c | 647.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.77 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Torpedo | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Torpedo | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked HC Sochi | 25c | 571.28$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.98 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Torpedo | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Torpedo | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Torpedo | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…7fdcbacked Torpedo | 75c | 420.11$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Torpedo | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Torpedo | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked HC Sochi | 22c | 400$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Torpedo | 75c | 132$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked HC Sochi | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked HC Sochi | 24c | 89.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…0672backed HC Sochi | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed HC Sochi | 23c | 44.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed HC Sochi | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c4e…9b6fbacked Torpedo | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed HC Sochi | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Torpedo | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed Torpedo | 74c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…ca38backed Torpedo | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Torpedo | 73c | 16.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.