Champions League · resolved market
Will Atletico Madrid beat Sparta Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09754bc8b36b2f31f168b17c03db430aeb47a8b9b2972932e248f4aa5647c760
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 58c | 8,655$5,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,608.73 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed No | 42c | 7,332$3,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,046.79 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 39c | 3,456$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.77 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 21c | 2,529$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.69 | 247 | 52.2%129 W · 118 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccb…0a10backed Yes | 80c | 1,958$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 41c | 1,807$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 1,635$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.64 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed No | 39c | 1,159$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.73 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 27c | 1,156$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.5 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked No | 41c | 1,071$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.55 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 61c | 1,066$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.61 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2d…8b38backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c53…30cdbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked No | 39c | 675.07$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…998dbacked Yes | 61c | 619.67$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8a…9aeabacked No | 21c | 550$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…73eebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…49e5backed Yes | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 58c | 485$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 58c | 469.49$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…0d45backed Yes | 61c | 450.82$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88d…291abacked Yes | 61c | 376.01$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a0…3d33backed Yes | 64c | 311.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…5d9abacked Yes | 61c | 299.07$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 21c | 263.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 227.8$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 40c | 210.53$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 59c | 169.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -29%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 60c | 133.33$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 40c | 126.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed Yes | 60c | 120$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…e2c9backed Yes | 59c | 118.64$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 10c | 110.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 37c | 105.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 244 | 55.7%136 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked No | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc4…ee71backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10d…becebacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe800…e861backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…a8cdbacked Yes | 59c | 79.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +531.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Yes | 60c | 73.33$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Yes | 60c | 67.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b0e…a5e4backed Yes | 61c | 65.57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bf…b25ebacked Yes | 59c | 56.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 61c | 53$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef17…6583backed Yes | 60c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…4774backed Yes | 61c | 43.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f3cdbacked Yes | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…2858backed No | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc9…9813backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 57c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.05 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…8a79backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e65…ab28backed Yes | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 59c | 27.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8267…5346backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…64eabacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…23fbbacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…a03abacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…8b5cbacked Yes | 61c | 18.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 74c | 17.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.55 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 61c | 16.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atletico Madrid beat Sparta Praha?this page
- Will Sparta Praha beat Atletico Madrid?No won
- Will the match between Sparta Praha and Atletico Madrid end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.