NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Torpedo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xadfa0f4abd1a6adee138aa7cd5f7b6d9576436c66ac157ec3dbe420fd2c3a09c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Torpedo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 1,238$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.05 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed Torpedo | 25c | 786.92$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.73 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Torpedo | 25c | 599.39$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Torpedo | 26c | 516$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.16 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…e1e5backed Torpedo | 33c | 332$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Torpedo | 24c | 289.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.11 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…6d13backed Torpedo | 28c | 279$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Torpedo | 15c | 274.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…d354backed Torpedo | 35c | 272.92$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…af35backed Torpedo | 33c | 263.95$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…8861backed Torpedo | 28c | 263.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a94…352cbacked Torpedo | 30c | 261$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb088…ae40backed Torpedo | 28c | 260$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f3…3547backed Torpedo | 33c | 256.27$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Torpedo | 26c | 193.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Torpedo | 18c | 186.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2584…0642backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 171.54$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0065…29f9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 153.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fc…6d22backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 152$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee2…7c8cbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 151$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Torpedo | 26c | 149.13$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.29 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Torpedo | 24c | 146.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…5e31backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e5…c18ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 145$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb43…1e48backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 144.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97aa…69b1backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 140.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c5…9494backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 133.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 75cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e2…24f9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 132$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…38ddbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 130$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b36…050abacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 128.8$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 78c | 126.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +10.8wins | +0.19per pick | 58cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1276…f910backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 124$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e6…d5a9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 67c | 122$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…4bc8backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 72c | 120.93$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cb…c6a0backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 70c | 114.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Torpedo | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 202 | 45%91 W · 111 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47b8…76f2backed Torpedo | 25c | 91.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Torpedo | 14c | 89.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Torpedo | 27c | 86.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Torpedo | 15c | 72.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Torpedo | 16c | 71.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 76c | 59.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 47.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 29.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 28.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 75c | 28.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…f8b9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 76c | 27.12$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 79c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ed…3e98backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.