NHL · resolved market
Sharks vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44c0c1b4953b4343e3cb0a374d153e5d562c4b6cf58dbc212315b5d13839d634
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Avalancheof Sharks, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf32b…1e55backed Sharks | 11c | 10,511$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 36cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Sharks | 22c | 3,050$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Sharks | 10c | 2,409$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.65 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef12…bb32backed Sharks | 21c | 1,321$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e27…efd1backed Avalanche | 79c | 1,321$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Avalanche | 78c | 1,237$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.24 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Avalanche | 78c | 855$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Avalanche | 80c | 683.38$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Avalanche | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks | 20c | 478.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.64 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks | 22c | 474.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…81e8backed Sharks | 23c | 438.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…d3e7backed Sharks | 22c | 396$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde3f…7da7backed Avalanche | 78c | 396$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…751abacked Avalanche | 78c | 392$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…ec18backed Sharks | 22c | 392$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13d…3083backed Avalanche | 78c | 388$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…8e70backed Sharks | 22c | 388$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5b…6bc7backed Sharks | 22c | 387$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88a…195dbacked Avalanche | 78c | 387$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…de6bbacked Sharks | 22c | 384$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…f6fdbacked Avalanche | 78c | 384$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…cfd0backed Sharks | 22c | 367$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcda…aeefbacked Avalanche | 78c | 365$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb99f…67e5backed Sharks | 22c | 365$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3c…238bbacked Sharks | 21c | 363$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ade…5b61backed Avalanche | 79c | 363$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e15…c621backed Avalanche | 78c | 362$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a5…a0bcbacked Sharks | 22c | 362$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf65…daacbacked Avalanche | 78c | 358$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…469fbacked Sharks | 22c | 358$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.76 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5e58backed Avalanche | 78c | 355.58$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd856…7439backed Sharks | 22c | 351$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdac4…deebbacked Avalanche | 78c | 351$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…6efbbacked Avalanche | 78c | 340$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c6…4499backed Sharks | 22c | 340$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…f60abacked Avalanche | 79c | 316.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…31bdbacked Avalanche | 78c | 310$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…cda0backed Sharks | 22c | 310$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Avalanche | 78c | 300$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.75 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Sharks | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Avalanche | 78c | 251.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.25 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Sharks | 22c | 245.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.06 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sharks | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Avalanche | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Sharks | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Sharks | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Avalanche | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42ce…d2cbbacked Sharks | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Sharks | 21c | 99.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Sharks | 20c | 86.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Avalanche | 78c | 81$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Avalanche | 78c | 80$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…7d44backed Sharks | 22c | 77.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb734…502cbacked Avalanche | 79c | 77.22$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…3c32backed Avalanche | 80c | 75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Sharks | 21c | 68.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Sharks | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Sharks | 23c | 50.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…9a77backed Avalanche | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed Sharks | 22c | 49.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e81…b287backed Avalanche | 79c | 45.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Avalanche | 78c | 42.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Avalanche | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Avalanche | 78c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…d66abacked Sharks | 33c | 39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…815dbacked Avalanche | 79c | 35.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Avalanche | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Avalanche | 77c | 29.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…0cbbbacked Avalanche | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Avalanche | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 123 | 69.9%86 W · 37 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Avalanche | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb6…fe8ebacked Avalanche | 79c | 24.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe854…a1bbbacked Avalanche | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…227abacked Avalanche | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…6741backed Avalanche | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd892…7d39backed Avalanche | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Avalanche | 80c | 16.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.25 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441b…2331backed Avalanche | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Avalanche | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaf53…b5b9backed Avalanche | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.