NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa54306a63daea7cf1125542dad2b0e5e9f04332f033d792bffedd1181902820e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Lightning, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Lightning | 42c | 9,588$4,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,026.83 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Panthers | 56c | 7,833$4,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,457.93 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 44c | 6,266$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,778.71 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Panthers | 58c | 5,657$3,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,383.13 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…6651backed Panthers | 55c | 4,965$2,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,242.25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Panthers | 56c | 2,620$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.3 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Lightning | 43c | 1,957$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.47 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 42c | 1,838$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.44 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Panthers | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.58 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a9e…f27abacked Panthers | 55c | 1,202$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.9 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…583bbacked Lightning | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…64adbacked Lightning | 30c | 1,134$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Lightning | 9c | 1,060$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 42c | 999.95$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.98 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Panthers | 57c | 881.64$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 44c | 713$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.72 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Lightning | 45c | 704.99$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.9 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 43c | 679.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.39 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 43c | 556.71$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.91 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…461dbacked Panthers | 53c | 526.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 44c | 465.19$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.13 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…e954backed Lightning | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Lightning | 34c | 442.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Panthers | 78c | 358.13$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…6dfbbacked Lightning | 47c | 327.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 31c | 321.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fca…a099backed Lightning | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Lightning | 42c | 299.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…de66backed Lightning | 47c | 260.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa465…cffebacked Panthers | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…1e79backed Lightning | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Lightning | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…6b07backed Lightning | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc2…d2e6backed Panthers | 54c | 220$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Panthers | 56c | 192.34$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.68 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Lightning | 43c | 181.41$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.07 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…6613backed Panthers | 54c | 178$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…2ecdbacked Lightning | 46c | 178$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…fd40backed Lightning | 25c | 160$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Lightning | 43c | 158.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.78 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb2…317bbacked Panthers | 55c | 146.02$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Lightning | 44c | 136$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Panthers | 55c | 130.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lightning | 44c | 123$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Panthers | 58c | 115.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb303…205bbacked Lightning | 48c | 112.5$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Lightning | 47c | 108.39$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…1a4fbacked Panthers | 53c | 107.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…ac45backed Lightning | 49c | 100.58$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Panthers | 60c | 100.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.35 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Panthers | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Lightning | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Panthers | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad8…8fd0backed Panthers | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lightning | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Lightning | 43c | 99.69$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b6…b669backed Lightning | 41c | 93.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Panthers | 53c | 92.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4480…4ebcbacked Panthers | 60c | 90.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb440…6806backed Lightning | 43c | 90.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…e309backed Panthers | 58c | 88.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…937ebacked Lightning | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3364…2c65backed Panthers | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Panthers | 58c | 86.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers | 60c | 82.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…c5f6backed Panthers | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…b6aabacked Lightning | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd8…cde6backed Panthers | 60c | 78.08$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 44c | 77.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.39 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a0…46e6backed Lightning | 47c | 76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac52…1208backed Lightning | 41c | 75.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Panthers | 54c | 74.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Panthers | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a66…baa9backed Lightning | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8e…5f70backed Panthers | 57c | 69.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2e…e228backed Lightning | 41c | 69.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Lightning | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8573…ae79backed Panthers | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…6eb7backed Panthers | 53c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c65…50b8backed Lightning | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…fd58backed Lightning | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c5…603dbacked Panthers | 57c | 65.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc29…1b83backed Lightning | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Lightning | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…303dbacked Panthers | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7b81backed Lightning | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Panthers | 59c | 58.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5586…9d85backed Panthers | 53c | 58.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1990…bbfabacked Panthers | 53c | 58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578e…7c33backed Lightning | 47c | 58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Lightning | 44c | 56.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…4a74backed Lightning | 47c | 56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb6…48e5backed Panthers | 53c | 56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fd…66f5backed Lightning | 48c | 54.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lightning | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Panthers | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d06backed Panthers | 53c | 44$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a5…ebbfbacked Lightning | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 42c | 41.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.