Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Old Dominion vs. Georgia State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6027ffb4a1e4e7da4132a04b60ebb320eab67ea38f0b8a25b3535d9644a0c6d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Stateof Old Dominion, Georgia State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Georgia State | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Old Dominion | 37c | 2,721$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.37 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Georgia State | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Old Dominion | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Old Dominion | 34c | 410.65$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.73 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Old Dominion | 37c | 312.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Georgia State | 57c | 235$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Old Dominion | 34c | 185$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6342…82e5backed Old Dominion | 35c | 108$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Georgia State | 58c | 67.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c88…16f3backed Georgia State | 65c | 49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae2…7f3bbacked Georgia State | 63c | 45$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2231…1936backed Old Dominion | 37c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…ab9fbacked Georgia State | 62c | 34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…5b20backed Old Dominion | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…cd2cbacked Georgia State | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…3310backed Old Dominion | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01cb…c66bbacked Georgia State | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07ad…9118backed Old Dominion | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…f9d3backed Georgia State | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x654c…21bebacked Georgia State | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…07eabacked Georgia State | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf798…ee19backed Georgia State | 57c | 19.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe19e…d20cbacked Georgia State | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cd…3856backed Georgia State | 57c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb9…3b15backed Georgia State | 62c | 18.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f89…9ea4backed Georgia State | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.