Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama vs. Tennessee
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c4c9ff84bc52f949dd4949610021b30c7416f94030fbb476e059d9feff27145
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennesseeof Alabama, Tennessee
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Alabama | 40c | 26,532$10,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,727.88 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Tennessee | 60c | 14,992$9,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.12 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Tennessee | 56c | 8,402$4,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,714.61 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Tennessee | 59c | 4,692$2,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Alabama | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Tennessee | 66c | 1,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.06 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Alabama | 35c | 1,280$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.97 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Tennessee | 67c | 450$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Tennessee | 42c | 450$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Tennessee | 65c | 306.15$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.15 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Alabama | 35c | 290$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Tennessee | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…3a02backed Tennessee | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Tennessee | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Tennessee | 57c | 75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Tennessee | 53c | 73.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…bbd0backed Alabama | 50c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x679b…28c4backed Alabama | 69c | 71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Tennessee | 46c | 69.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Alabama | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ff…cb15backed Alabama | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784c…ba28backed Tennessee | 31c | 62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x825b…c53fbacked Alabama | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6e…aca9backed Tennessee | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Tennessee | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Alabama | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…b9d0backed Alabama | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Alabama | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc275…593fbacked Alabama | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…0fe8backed Alabama | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e31…6d9fbacked Alabama | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f15…99abbacked Alabama | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee15…f3c7backed Alabama | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…611dbacked Alabama | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f2…c007backed Alabama | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef84…3234backed Alabama | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…d9ccbacked Alabama | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.