Champions League · resolved market
Will the match between PSV and Sporting CP end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1471989d9d1aa4922b8d3e2e0b4705c5438d7037c7dc56763f14ddda32ec453
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 3c | 13,084$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.54 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 73c | 823.7$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.3 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 25c | 819.38$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.54 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…1ef4backed Yes | 27c | 685.19$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…434cbacked No | 14c | 505.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb241…827fbacked No | 75c | 477.33$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…44afbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 74c | 333$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.58 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 25c | 269.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8a…40a7backed No | 75c | 210.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 72c | 48.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…be30backed Yes | 27c | 46.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 72c | 23.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.82 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the match between PSV and Sporting CP end in a draw?this page
- Will PSV beat Sporting CP?No won
- Will Sporting CP beat PSV?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.