Champions League · resolved market
Will PSV beat Sporting CP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee576531cb5ce60550558eddc7d1cbb907b407f5328e8d62c6f27f10d98d2db7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,649
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 64c | 4,539$2,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.66 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 69c | 1,780$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.47 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 32c | 1,550$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 37c | 1,461$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.66 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed No | 68c | 950$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed6…da8abacked Yes | 33c | 748.48$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 65c | 661$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.7 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes | 35c | 605$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.34 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 36c | 444$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 19c | 81.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.67 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…7dd4backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 33c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed42…7718backed No | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…c3cbbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3f…0477backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV beat Sporting CP?this page
- Will Sporting CP beat PSV?No won
- Will the match between PSV and Sporting CP end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.