WNBA · resolved market
WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 1
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0440b7e4081ba4c93e3a3893635c76db129f33cc320d892ab2896c2a775d21b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunof Sun, Fever
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,600
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,600 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Sun | 66c | 3,311$2,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Fever | 10c | 2,500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Sun | 74c | 1,890$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c6…9211backed Fever | 36c | 1,810$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Fever | 33c | 1,376$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.18 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…9836backed Fever | 36c | 800$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ba…e33abacked Sun | 67c | 798.47$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Fever | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…3377backed Sun | 68c | 344$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked Fever | 36c | 342$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34e…895ebacked Fever | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Sun | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…ac1ebacked Fever | 36c | 158.33$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Fever | 12c | 138.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Sun | 64c | 71.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 40cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3956backed Fever | 37c | 50.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Sun | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Sun | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Sun | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…52f3backed Sun | 67c | 39.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…e80ebacked Sun | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…95a2backed Sun | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…f97abacked Sun | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.