College Football · resolved market
Will Texas A&M beat Florida?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71dcca3aaf2a5fe96ab9a9f756074fb2a68afc6d1a09dcd7c9cdc67adba322f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Texas A&M, Florida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Texas A&M | 75c | 11,855$8,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.39 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Florida | 5c | 4,700$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Florida | 40c | 4,329$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,746.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Florida | 24c | 3,104$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…d337backed Texas A&M | 60c | 2,914$1,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 12c | 2,685$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.45 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Texas A&M | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Florida | 39c | 1,638$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.02 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Florida | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Florida | 18c | 1,220$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.37 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed Florida | 17c | 1,147$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Florida | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.14 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Florida | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…f9d6backed Florida | 36c | 950$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.5 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Florida | 41c | 396.62$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Texas A&M | 62c | 330.8$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…e7bdbacked Texas A&M | 62c | 244.8$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…f062backed Florida | 43c | 230.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Texas A&M | 59c | 202.59$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.06 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…0c6ebacked Texas A&M | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Florida | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…0b3fbacked Texas A&M | 59c | 138.98$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Florida | 56c | 125.91$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.51 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Florida | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Texas A&M | 63c | 105.02$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249e…c29abacked Florida | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Florida | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Texas A&M | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Florida | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…a883backed Texas A&M | 67c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…4a1bbacked Florida | 43c | 63.26$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Florida | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Florida | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Florida | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Texas A&M | 59c | 49.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Florida | 36c | 42.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 55c | 39.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7f…6f30backed Texas A&M | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Florida | 35c | 31.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…4a5abacked Texas A&M | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Texas A&M | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Florida | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed Texas A&M | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Texas A&M | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Texas A&M | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -6.0wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Texas A&M beat Florida?this page
- Will Texas A&M win by 4 or more points?Yes won
- Will there be 49 or more combined points scored?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.