NHL · resolved market
NHL: Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x583e5487d8ed14f45b9fce0c723f413cd180461014d5ed697190612096518e62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Avalanche
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,232
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91d7…4f16backed Golden Knights | 76c | 4,690$3,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Avalanche | 20c | 3,484$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.85 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Avalanche | 22c | 2,993$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.63 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Avalanche | 28c | 2,686$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.1 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 2,423$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.21 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Avalanche | 35c | 2,210$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.08 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723d…f127backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,145$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f1…ee13backed Avalanche | 51c | 1,031$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Avalanche | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Golden Knights | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Avalanche | 53c | 771$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.48 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 659.2$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.2 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…4551backed Avalanche | 54c | 621.07$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b6…4eddbacked Golden Knights | 53c | 522.32$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Avalanche | 50c | 505$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 352.41$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Golden Knights | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…4ff7backed Avalanche | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…928fbacked Golden Knights | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Golden Knights | 49c | 143$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…e13ebacked Golden Knights | 53c | 131$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…c9afbacked Avalanche | 51c | 58.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…21a8backed Avalanche | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6f…7399backed Avalanche | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Golden Knights | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Avalanche | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.