College Football · resolved market
Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M winner?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8ebeef46e9df98636b740e31763781401033453d957c39c748348ea36fcb0d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Texas A&M, Notre Dame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…406abacked Notre Dame | 44c | 23,814$10,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,339.62 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Texas A&M | 56c | 22,561$12,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,633.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Notre Dame | 53c | 7,554$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,559.91 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Notre Dame | 46c | 2,059$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.03 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Texas A&M | 56c | 1,501$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.47 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…5692backed Notre Dame | 44c | 1,202$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Texas A&M | 61c | 1,057$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.71 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Texas A&M | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Texas A&M | 58c | 999.96$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c4…d5a1backed Notre Dame | 46c | 868.2$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Texas A&M | 54c | 807.87$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.25 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…64abbacked Texas A&M | 34c | 653.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Notre Dame | 42c | 647.62$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.62 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Notre Dame | 44c | 629.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Notre Dame | 44c | 540$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Texas A&M | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Texas A&M | 57c | 485.87$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.83 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -31%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…ffcebacked Notre Dame | 52c | 460$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb49…97a0backed Texas A&M | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Notre Dame | 40c | 337.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.76 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Texas A&M | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…0b47backed Texas A&M | 56c | 300$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Notre Dame | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefcd…e2ebbacked Notre Dame | 42c | 227.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Notre Dame | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Texas A&M | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Notre Dame | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5834…f0cbbacked Notre Dame | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Notre Dame | 46c | 150$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.4 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Texas A&M | 57c | 136.51$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Notre Dame | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7b…d15ebacked Notre Dame | 45c | 110.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Texas A&M | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Texas A&M | 56c | 91.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Texas A&M | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f17…39fbbacked Texas A&M | 62c | 89.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Notre Dame | 40c | 80$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Texas A&M | 60c | 80$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f1…5bccbacked Texas A&M | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b7…dd7ebacked Notre Dame | 42c | 78.57$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Texas A&M | 19c | 76.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Notre Dame | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Notre Dame | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Notre Dame | 41c | 59.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Notre Dame | 42c | 52.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Texas A&M | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Notre Dame | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Notre Dame | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Notre Dame | 52c | 48.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…3282backed Notre Dame | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37f0…3e25backed Texas A&M | 59c | 47.46$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3583…fa7abacked Notre Dame | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…564ebacked Texas A&M | 58c | 42.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…d8c8backed Notre Dame | 55c | 38.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Notre Dame | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Texas A&M | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Notre Dame | 40c | 26.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed Notre Dame | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…2b5abacked Notre Dame | 45c | 22.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed Texas A&M | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…d88cbacked Texas A&M | 60c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b03…65b0backed Texas A&M | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked Notre Dame | 79c | 14.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Notre Dame vs. Texas A&M winner?this page
- Will Texas A&M win by 3 or more points?No won
- Will there be 47 or more combined points scored?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.