TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Imperialof Imperial, BESTIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,085
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$179,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,085 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfb8…a530backed BESTIA1c37,879$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2d0…7bbfbacked BESTIA47c6,174$2,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,901.786336.5%23 W · 40 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Imperial44c5,604$2,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,146.823,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed BESTIA56c2,106$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.9361834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa22b…3525backed Imperial50c2,083$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,044.921752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Imperial58c1,883$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.2975545.6%344 W · 411 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1568…2a89backed Imperial43c1,882$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082.285028%14 W · 36 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked BESTIA43c1,833$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0732752.3%171 W · 156 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed BESTIA41c1,777$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.885836.2%21 W · 37 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0478…37c3backed Imperial47c1,500$703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.199952.5%52 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial33c1,425$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.85,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Imperial56c1,016$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1411547%54 W · 61 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed BESTIA75c930.55$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial54c888.87$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.871,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Imperial32c768.86$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.859051.1%46 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed BESTIA43c750$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.597240.7%396 W · 576 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked BESTIA42c689.94$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.391,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Imperial58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6615823.4%37 W · 121 L-18.0wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-44.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA52c608.25$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.65,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f41…547cbacked BESTIA80c600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.7524447.1%115 W · 129 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6818…8f14backed BESTIA56c593.75$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33018037.8%68 W · 112 L-9.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked BESTIA41c512.2$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21063541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Imperial52c509.99$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.852150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7100…c12abacked Imperial59c509.88$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.883537.1%13 W · 22 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x625a…867ebacked BESTIA65c500$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.141833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27035953.2%191 W · 168 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed BESTIA40c473.01$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.472,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Imperial38c460.01$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.662,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed BESTIA43c437$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.212,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Imperial25c360$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.1631647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Imperial40c335.66$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.932,55441.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L-116.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3783…171dbacked Imperial55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13524962.2%155 W · 94 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+22.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial41c279.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.616,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e09…22febacked Imperial57c254.42$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.43164.5%20 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial43c251$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.864,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e6a…7dccbacked BESTIA61c246.31$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x949e…20afbacked BESTIA48c207.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043437.6%163 W · 271 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Imperial54c201.94$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.892,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5db…c052backed BESTIA53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-64.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed BESTIA55c199.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9993261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc0c…dac0backed Imperial66c199.3$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.1643175.9%327 W · 104 L+24.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed BESTIA69c190.71$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.4516449.4%81 W · 83 L-20.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe041…8380backed Imperial53c188.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892650%13 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3320…c9e7backed Imperial54c186.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.571181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick60cpaid+32.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b20…6be5backed BESTIA55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910446.2%48 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked BESTIA40c149.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.263,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed BESTIA53c148.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.91,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad2a…99a3backed Imperial31c147$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.320045.5%91 W · 109 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…1992backed Imperial60c121.67$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.675123.5%12 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Imperial27c107.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4139538.7%153 W · 242 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked BESTIA57c102.98$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.692,19543.1%946 W · 1,249 L-68.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked BESTIA53c100.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.334,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed BESTIA47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2479…5becbacked BESTIA43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433256.3%18 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed BESTIA40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4087351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499f…b72bbacked Imperial43c96.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1514645.2%66 W · 80 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a13…0512backed BESTIA55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa195…8c92backed BESTIA78c90.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709138.5%35 W · 56 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf5b6…eec6backed BESTIA49c83.67$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial35c82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.661,89041.9%791 W · 1,099 L-71.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed BESTIA37c81.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.352850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Imperial57c80.7$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.76258.1%36 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial35c80.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2e…b387backed BESTIA60c76.18$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.074362.8%27 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked BESTIA54c73.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7159445.8%272 W · 322 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f0c…5ad0backed Imperial46c69.97$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9910643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4f…9b0cbacked BESTIA54c66.67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368351.8%43 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial56c65.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.923,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked BESTIA43c62.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.42,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Imperial26c61.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.33,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked BESTIA56c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.051,63243.2%705 W · 927 L-32.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Imperial49c60.98$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.252,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Imperial39c58.38$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.752,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0ab6…4880backed Imperial52c57.16$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1659354.8%325 W · 268 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…9256backed Imperial60c56.13$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.38540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Imperial43c54$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.782,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f8…b0e5backed Imperial43c53.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.712040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15d1…2f08backed BESTIA56c51.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0615846.8%74 W · 84 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe54…c928backed Imperial38c51.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.911637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3416…adaabacked BESTIA45c50.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5328935.3%102 W · 187 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed BESTIA41c47.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.522,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1d…6f23backed BESTIA65c46.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3014060.7%85 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78e…7cbcbacked Imperial46c45.96$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9629437.1%109 W · 185 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed BESTIA78c45.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.356239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA30c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.443,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cb6…d647backed Imperial78c44.67$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.934266.7%28 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x176e…085cbacked BESTIA78c43.58$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.995444.4%24 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…1068backed Imperial60c42.57$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0332561.5%200 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Imperial49c40.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.9161855%340 W · 278 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BESTIA49c39.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.355,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7aa7…afb4backed BESTIA29c36.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5719454.1%105 W · 89 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked BESTIA42c31.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.421,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc09f…8865backed BESTIA43c30.43$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Imperial33c30.31$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3177346.1%356 W · 417 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x207a…6744backed BESTIA53c30.19$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick51cpaid-38.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed BESTIA47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.160451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked BESTIA52c26.92$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.985973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Imperial50c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1359044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d8…9ccebacked BESTIA47c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed BESTIA43c25.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8142854.9%235 W · 193 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.