CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x793a4fcd1efe03b1ae06471fe923cb5da78257d19544ea427fced74a0c1ebfe6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,352
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,352 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Imperial | 67c | 17,890$11,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,904.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed BESTIA | 33c | 16,965$5,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,598.4 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9166…b479backed Imperial | 57c | 6,000$3,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.75 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked BESTIA | 42c | 2,457$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.94 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked BESTIA | 28c | 1,754$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.85 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed BESTIA | 24c | 1,540$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA | 43c | 1,250$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 597 | 55.4%331 W · 266 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Imperial | 62c | 858.68$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.4 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 23c | 693.71$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf490…63afbacked BESTIA | 6c | 690.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Imperial | 78c | 546.88$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial | 71c | 506.79$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf2…2ce6backed BESTIA | 39c | 405$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…6ac3backed BESTIA | 37c | 337.24$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Imperial | 70c | 280$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.17 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Imperial | 56c | 275.24$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.96 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Imperial | 72c | 264.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed Imperial | 76c | 261.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…a065backed BESTIA | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609d…3fa9backed Imperial | 67c | 233.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 99 | 63.6%63 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked BESTIA | 26c | 230.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Imperial | 66c | 220$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Imperial | 78c | 185.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed Imperial | 78c | 174.48$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Imperial | 76c | 165.8$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Imperial | 64c | 153.65$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e09…22febacked Imperial | 64c | 148.5$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed BESTIA | 38c | 120$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Imperial | 79c | 95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d15…4a14backed Imperial | 77c | 84.94$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.8wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed BESTIA | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Imperial | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.32 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed Imperial | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c91…b4d2backed Imperial | 70c | 70.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Imperial | 71c | 67$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed BESTIA | 38c | 61.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed BESTIA | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x018e…c536backed BESTIA | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Imperial | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd934…ab75backed BESTIA | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 80c | 48.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Imperial | 68c | 45.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked BESTIA | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…b387backed Imperial | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed BESTIA | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked BESTIA | 33c | 36.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f4…ee16backed Imperial | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 587 | 45%264 W · 323 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed BESTIA | 41c | 34.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Imperial | 58c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc2…a9ebbacked Imperial | 66c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3416…adaabacked Imperial | 67c | 28.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 289 | 35.3%102 W · 187 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Imperial | 58c | 27.53$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BESTIA | 37c | 27.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 323 | 44.3%143 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed BESTIA | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90f…a908backed Imperial | 58c | 18.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Imperial | 79c | 17.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Imperial | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)Imperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.