CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2520c996a3272b25f2299b0690fe98d0e4c1c0b1329569023d81a865c5e5e88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, BESTIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,688
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,688 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed BESTIA | 2c | 18,765$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked BESTIA | 70c | 2,859$1,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,996.44 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Imperial | 29c | 1,193$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.85 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed Imperial | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Imperial | 30c | 927.16$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.01 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 50c | 842.4$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.2 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed BESTIA | 71c | 735.29$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.43 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Imperial | 30c | 732.05$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.44 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed BESTIA | 71c | 583.97$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.82 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed BESTIA | 69c | 479.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.63 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Imperial | 32c | 463.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.25 | 343 | 40.8%140 W · 203 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…0965backed Imperial | 30c | 313$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.1 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Imperial | 30c | 260.36$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.25 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…867ebacked BESTIA | 54c | 224.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Imperial | 32c | 166.4$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.15 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Imperial | 30c | 144.6$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.22 | 154 | 36.4%56 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BESTIA | 66c | 124.49$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.45 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked BESTIA | 56c | 118.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Imperial | 40c | 114.78$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Imperial | 30c | 108.93$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Imperial | 43c | 108.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Imperial | 38c | 103.54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 425 | 38.6%164 W · 261 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…44c9backed Imperial | 30c | 99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Imperial | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed BESTIA | 63c | 78.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.69 | 338 | 44.4%150 W · 188 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Imperial | 29c | 75.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.22 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Imperial | 37c | 71.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Imperial | 37c | 71.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.17 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BESTIA | 61c | 50.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Imperial | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.4 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed BESTIA | 72c | 45.62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…30abbacked Imperial | 42c | 38.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed BESTIA | 58c | 38.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.32 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked BESTIA | 71c | 25.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e6…9622backed BESTIA | 70c | 23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed BESTIA | 71c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f3…293cbacked BESTIA | 71c | 18.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed BESTIA | 70c | 16.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 240 | 65.4%157 W · 83 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked BESTIA | 68c | 16.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed BESTIA | 70c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier PlayoffsImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.