TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Grand Canyon Antelopes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Oklahoma State Cowboysof Oklahoma State Cowboys, Grand Canyon Antelopes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,718
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,572

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,718 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Oklahoma State Cowboys64c16,100$10,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,84511662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Grand Canyon Antelopes42c9,226$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.865,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Grand Canyon Antelopes45c5,012$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.4169142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Oklahoma State Cowboys55c4,670$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.342,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Grand Canyon Antelopes40c1,791$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.451,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Grand Canyon Antelopes25c1,599$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.8455657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Oklahoma State Cowboys58c1,190$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.875,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Grand Canyon Antelopes25c1,151$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.752,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes43c927.66$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.6816341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes25c856.9$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.123158.9%136 W · 95 L+23.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Grand Canyon Antelopes43c831.26$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.4461652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Oklahoma State Cowboys54c545$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.71,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c420.78$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.243,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes36c413.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8777142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys55c334.88$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Grand Canyon Antelopes18c320$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.431,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…c9eebacked Oklahoma State Cowboys74c303.96$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.033174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13529444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes15c262$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.391,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes43c220.19$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.284,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys74c209.46$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.465158.8%30 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Oklahoma State Cowboys54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1939144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Grand Canyon Antelopes29c173.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae9…74acbacked Grand Canyon Antelopes19c155.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.715939%62 W · 97 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fce…ae92backed Grand Canyon Antelopes40c126$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys46c120.84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.361,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys67c115.67$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.051,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Grand Canyon Antelopes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.723,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Grand Canyon Antelopes16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.264322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed Grand Canyon Antelopes40c79.77$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.785949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys74c74.32$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.322673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Grand Canyon Antelopes31c73.97$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.932,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11c1…7fe5backed Oklahoma State Cowboys53c50.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.593953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Oklahoma State Cowboys69c42.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1973549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed Grand Canyon Antelopes43c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.67660.5%46 W · 30 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f40…600dbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys62c20.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.693450%17 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b2…bbdbbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys74c17.12$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.