Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Cal Poly Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ee5093139af2b800fc0e4e63a57632e8ddf13144fa889945ec004d770e5be2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UC Riverside Highlandersof UC Riverside Highlanders, Cal Poly Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,350
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,350 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 55c | 11,700$6,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,265 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 15c | 6,311$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.65 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 19c | 5,176$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.3 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 67c | 2,349$1,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.76 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 26c | 1,600$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.24 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 71c | 1,503$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.13 | 128 | 53.1%68 W · 60 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 31c | 1,003$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.06 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 29c | 836.79$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 32c | 310.78$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.33 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…a330backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 71c | 250$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 78c | 227.2$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 21c | 109.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 71c | 86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…128bbacked Cal Poly Mustangs | 23c | 47.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Cal Poly Mustangs | 23c | 47.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc9…801ebacked UC Riverside Highlanders | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed UC Riverside Highlanders | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 98 | 71.4%70 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.