Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Omaha Mavericks vs. Portland State Vikings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef14770222c6b422e42306770dce07f3eca403a521aae8727abcc3896cbdb2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Omaha Mavericksof Omaha Mavericks, Portland State Vikings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Omaha Mavericks | 35c | 14,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,100 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Portland State Vikings | 65c | 13,500$8,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,775 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 16c | 800$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Portland State Vikings | 67c | 700$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.71 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Portland State Vikings | 55c | 606.19$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.07 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Omaha Mavericks | 42c | 481.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.19 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Omaha Mavericks | 31c | 308.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.25 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Portland State Vikings | 75c | 300$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Portland State Vikings | 61c | 227.17$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.66 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Omaha Mavericks | 45c | 159.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.9 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Omaha Mavericks | 19c | 105$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Omaha Mavericks | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Portland State Vikings | 54c | 32.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Portland State Vikingsthis page
- Omaha Mavericks vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 151.5Under won
- Spread: Portland State Vikings (-11.5)Omaha Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.