Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Medjedovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ef71697e4afb700e0e46b2dc25693ee4deb803bcdad2fbe053aac9ed1960949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Trungelliti, Medjedovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Medjedovic | 36c | 622.78$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trungelliti | 47c | 402.25$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.66 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…85e5backed Medjedovic | 60c | 326.73$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trungelliti | 63c | 233.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.02 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Trungelliti | 57c | 216.62$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.09 | 357 | 55.5%198 W · 159 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Trungelliti | 55c | 183.37$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.85 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed Trungelliti | 47c | 148.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 179 | 55.9%100 W · 79 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aaa…ddfdbacked Trungelliti | 57c | 100.75$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 273 | 46.5%127 W · 146 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Medjedovic | 53c | 99.87$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.94 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed Trungelliti | 66c | 94.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Medjedovic | 54c | 86.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Medjedovic | 45c | 83$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Medjedovic | 51c | 66.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Medjedovic | 51c | 60.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Medjedovic | 51c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Trungelliti | 54c | 59.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Medjedovic | 48c | 58.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Trungelliti | 60c | 49.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Medjedovic | 45c | 33.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Medjedovic | 54c | 27.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 348 | 47.1%164 W · 184 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Trungelliti | 52c | 21.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs Medjedovicthis page
- Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad MedjedovicHamad Medjedovic won
- Marco Trungelliti vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)Medjedovic won
- Trungelliti vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Trungelliti vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.