Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa29539942d395f8a1a3369ba0cb0f6a42330896b77d2fef1373de8ea22aaffab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medjedovicof Medjedovic, Trungelliti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Medjedovic | 46c | 2,146$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.78 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Trungelliti | 54c | 1,160$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.22 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trungelliti | 45c | 1,034$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.86 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Trungelliti | 39c | 657.11$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Trungelliti | 53c | 372.5$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Trungelliti | 54c | 366.59$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.96 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Medjedovic | 46c | 354.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…650dbacked Trungelliti | 54c | 270.11$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Trungelliti | 54c | 180.33$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 155 | 48.4%75 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ebc…c639backed Trungelliti | 54c | 178.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.27 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d05…ef4abacked Medjedovic | 26c | 121.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.94 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Medjedovic | 49c | 107.35$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.47 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Trungelliti | 47c | 107.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…ca41backed Trungelliti | 51c | 105.59$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.37 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -6.9wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Trungelliti | 46c | 100.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Medjedovic | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Trungelliti | 52c | 98.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Trungelliti | 52c | 93.06$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Medjedovic | 48c | 55.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Medjedovic | 45c | 54.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Trungelliti | 53c | 53.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f0…f424backed Trungelliti | 55c | 53.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Trungelliti | 52c | 49.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9855…b244backed Medjedovic | 44c | 48.32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Medjedovic | 59c | 42.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 361 | 35.7%129 W · 232 L | -35.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Medjedovic | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Trungelliti | 59c | 30.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Medjedovic | 48c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Medjedovic (-1.5) vs Trungelliti (+1.5)this page
- Barcelona Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Hamad MedjedovicHamad Medjedovic won
- Marco Trungelliti vs. Hamad Medjedovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Trungelliti vs MedjedovicMedjedovic won
- Trungelliti vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Trungelliti vs. Medjedovic: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.