NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Celtics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x538847ed044783cfb41f5b980e7753856788a442cdee7d83207058e33d25977b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Celtics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $347,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $335,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $347,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Celtics | 0c | 44,445$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb93d…8949backed Celtics | 41c | 26,780$11,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,050.74 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Kings | 69c | 22,689$15,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,986.28 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…5d34backed Kings | 15c | 17,680$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,028.06 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 53c | 8,329$4,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,917.56 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 16c | 8,100$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,803.96 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Kings | 18c | 5,999$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.05 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 55c | 5,822$3,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.47 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Celtics | 7c | 4,364$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.92 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Celtics | 8c | 4,234$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.98 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Kings | 16c | 3,702$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.28 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Celtics | 73c | 3,510$2,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,562.05 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Kings | 20c | 3,449$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.93 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Celtics | 67c | 3,213$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Celtics | 0c | 3,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Celtics | 80c | 3,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Celtics | 44c | 2,351$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.81 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Celtics | 2c | 2,210$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Kings | 55c | 1,957$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.34 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Celtics | 63c | 1,800$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542e…e88ebacked Celtics | 55c | 1,773$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.84 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Celtics | 51c | 1,754$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.78 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Celtics | 23c | 1,726$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292d…2c8dbacked Celtics | 79c | 1,600$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.1 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…ebaebacked Kings | 17c | 1,588$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Celtics | 52c | 1,450$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Celtics | 53c | 1,380$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.23 | 290 | 43.8%127 W · 163 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e4…54aebacked Kings | 76c | 1,183$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.63 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Celtics | 27c | 1,175$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…5bfcbacked Kings | 67c | 1,116$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.83 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Kings | 21c | 1,106$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.43 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Kings | 17c | 1,082$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.35 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Celtics | 55c | 1,078$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.84 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Celtics | 80c | 1,072$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.6 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 34c | 1,071$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.68 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings | 24c | 1,053$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.09 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Kings | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Celtics | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kings | 18c | 999.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.97 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kings | 19c | 982.54$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.41 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Celtics | 43c | 891.84$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.26 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d6…c0f4backed Kings | 17c | 840$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Kings | 16c | 824.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.3 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5c…5b0fbacked Kings | 25c | 800$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Kings | 22c | 738.15$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.84 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Celtics | 27c | 729.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 381 | 32.8%125 W · 256 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x258d…cd31backed Kings | 14c | 721.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.43 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Celtics | 50c | 718.88$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.44 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…7305backed Kings | 15c | 687.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kings | 15c | 685.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.09 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Celtics | 48c | 666.67$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Celtics | 7c | 659.28$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Kings | 22c | 651.61$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.73 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Kings | 24c | 634.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.78 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Celtics | 5c | 622$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 19c | 600$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Kings | 17c | 600$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…9c4cbacked Celtics | 73c | 600$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 29c | 548.12$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kings | 20c | 500.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.66 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 56c | 500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Kings | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…326cbacked Kings | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Celtics | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Kings | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.09 | 61 | 6.6%4 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Kings | 18c | 499.95$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f51…2019backed Kings | 16c | 413.33$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.13 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Kings | 17c | 411.76$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.76 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Kings | 16c | 399.94$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.95 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Kings | 31c | 399.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Celtics | 80c | 393.11$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4634backed Kings | 18c | 379.67$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Kings | 19c | 349.94$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.46 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9f…0cdfbacked Kings | 19c | 339.3$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.08 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kings | 18c | 333$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kings | 18c | 333$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Kings | 17c | 300.74$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.61 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…6e16backed Kings | 16c | 300$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6274…f988backed Celtics | 72c | 300$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…1732backed Kings | 20c | 281.6$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…c596backed Celtics | 68c | 270$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.2 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Kings | 23c | 248.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.35 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kings | 51c | 237.81$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.99 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69eb…1d77backed Celtics | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Celtics | 70c | 223.39$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.06 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…aa1fbacked Celtics | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…4e2abacked Kings | 68c | 212.15$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.89 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Kings | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.53 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18ac…15f9backed Celtics | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b61…be28backed Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 65%78 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3a…f76dbacked Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…1513backed Celtics | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Kings | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Kings | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Celtics | 75c | 200$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 351 | 65.2%229 W · 122 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Celtics | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…efd1backed Kings | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Kings | 17c | 194.12$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1eb…76febacked Celtics | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.