MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55d4844484a1e886ec6943bfa63063fe1f18948dab620ba6032dc8b34394c601
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Philadelphia Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $364,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,999.96 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 79,926$33,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,848.28 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 68,092$40,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,174.8 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 34,011$20,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,113.75 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 25,800$10,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,349.19 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 15,000$8,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,850 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 13,994$8,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,323.58 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,904.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 11,283$6,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,746.38 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 10,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,849.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 9,980$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.27 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 12c | 6,185$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.17 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 5,662$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,308.32 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,946$2,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,903.39 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 4,937$2,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.83 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 4,518$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 4,055$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.87 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,730$2,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200.54 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,065 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,389$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.51 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Rangers | 40c | 3,235$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.07 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,201$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,913.97 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 3,090$1,854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,854 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b5…a5cabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,030$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.7 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 3,025$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 2,647$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.86 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 10c | 2,638$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 2,537$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.59 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f6…7ce9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,222$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.97 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Texas Rangers | 45c | 1,730$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.8 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,658$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,600$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,600$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 1,594$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.48 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…df78backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 1,300$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.58 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f6…0f69backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 1,179$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 1,145$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Texas Rangers | 60c | 1,104$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.6 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 117 | 44.4%52 W · 65 L | -9.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 987.45$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.5 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 875$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 789.49$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 747.1$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.06 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd0…731cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 161 | 59.6%96 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Philadelphia Phillies | 26c | 649.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.5 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies | 50c | 629.52$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 600$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 25c | 593$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.78 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 580$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.6 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 562$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…9257backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 540.02$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d56…a287backed Philadelphia Phillies | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 29c | 476$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 453.75$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.69 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 438$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.42 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers | 71c | 437.42$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.62 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 427.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 425$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 48c | 417.4$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.08 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…6adbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 58c | 409.41$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 13c | 394.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.31 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 384.41$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.93 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 357.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 338$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.42 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 320.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.11 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 314.17$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.75 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 65c | 306$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Texas Rangers | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…ab9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.99 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…fb90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 286.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 286.44$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 57c | 285.77$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.47 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10da…a09abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 282.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Philadelphia Phillies | 60c | 270$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Philadelphia Phillies | 15c | 270$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 781 | 46.4%362 W · 419 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Texas Rangers | 55c | 265.45$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.45 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 265$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.55 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 59c | 252.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 248.78$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.78 | 122 | 57.4%70 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 248$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 248$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Texas Rangers | 41c | 248$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.32 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Texas Rangers | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Texas Rangers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Texas Rangers | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Texas Rangers | 52c | 234$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.4 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Philliesthis page
- NRFI: Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia PhilliesYes won
- Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5Over won
- Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.