TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Texas Rangers vs. Philadelphia Phillies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texas Rangersof Texas Rangers, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$359,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$364,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 241 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Texas Rangers41c100,000$41,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58,999.9641149.1%202 W · 209 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Texas Rangers41c79,926$33,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46,848.281,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Philadelphia Phillies59c68,092$40,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,174.815550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c34,011$20,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,113.751,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Texas Rangers41c25,800$10,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,349.197839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Philadelphia Phillies59c25,000$14,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,7503354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c15,000$8,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,85015148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c13,994$8,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,323.5811454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers42c11,905$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,904.7698149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Philadelphia Phillies60c11,283$6,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,746.381,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Philadelphia Phillies58c10,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,849.9913349.6%66 W · 67 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies33c9,980$3,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.272,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Philadelphia Phillies12c6,185$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.1711125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies58c5,662$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,308.325,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c4,946$2,903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,903.391,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Philadelphia Phillies59c4,937$2,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.836654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Philadelphia Phillies1c4,518$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5840629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies4c4,055$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.871,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c3,730$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,200.5465050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c3,500$2,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,06567250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies59c3,389$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.511,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Rangers40c3,235$1,297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,938.0746547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Philadelphia Phillies60c3,201$1,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,913.9720548.3%99 W · 106 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Philadelphia Phillies60c3,090$1,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8542951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b5…a5cabacked Philadelphia Phillies59c3,030$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.74443.2%19 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-22.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c3,025$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7852733.3%9 W · 18 L-5.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-34.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Texas Rangers41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,77061947.7%295 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Texas Rangers41c2,647$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.8632348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Philadelphia Phillies10c2,638$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711,17329%340 W · 833 L-0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Texas Rangers41c2,537$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,496.5912551.2%64 W · 61 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24f6…7ce9backed Philadelphia Phillies3c2,500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.910634.9%37 W · 69 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Philadelphia Phillies59c2,222$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.971,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Philadelphia Phillies59c2,000$1,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18027254.4%148 W · 124 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Texas Rangers45c1,730$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.83363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c1,658$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9956253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Texas Rangers40c1,600$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9586,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c1,600$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9441,43550%717 W · 718 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Texas Rangers40c1,594$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.481,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Philadelphia Phillies39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.5810930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20f6…0f69backed Philadelphia Phillies33c1,179$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.215137.3%19 W · 32 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Philadelphia Phillies35c1,145$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40094034.3%322 W · 618 L-2.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Texas Rangers60c1,104$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.619143.5%83 W · 108 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Philadelphia Phillies59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60040348.4%195 W · 208 L-18.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Philadelphia Phillies60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006560%39 W · 26 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Philadelphia Phillies60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Philadelphia Phillies59c987.45$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.57948.1%38 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Texas Rangers40c875$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5251070%7 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick44cpaid+53.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Philadelphia Phillies59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50032157%183 W · 138 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49629948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Philadelphia Phillies9c789.49$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3918056.1%101 W · 79 L+11.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Philadelphia Phillies38c747.1$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0660941.4%252 W · 357 L-22.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Texas Rangers41c731.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.7132350.5%163 W · 160 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd0…731cbacked Philadelphia Phillies61c655.74$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40016159.6%96 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Philadelphia Phillies26c649.99$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Philadelphia Phillies50c629.52$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.799,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Texas Rangers41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3543,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Philadelphia Phillies25c593$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7810353.4%55 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51b…9606backed Texas Rangers43c580$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.622548.4%109 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Philadelphia Phillies9c562$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4614039.3%55 W · 85 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4759…9257backed Texas Rangers41c540.02$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.58450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dad…4855backed Texas Rangers41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29521052.9%111 W · 99 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d56…a287backed Philadelphia Phillies20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Philadelphia Phillies29c476$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.184841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Philadelphia Phillies37c453.75$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.691,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Philadelphia Phillies59c438$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.424052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Texas Rangers71c437.42$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.626,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Philadelphia Phillies4c427.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.182825%7 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc667…e68dbacked Philadelphia Phillies7c425$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Philadelphia Phillies48c417.4$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.081,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Philadelphia Phillies58c409.41$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23911844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Philadelphia Phillies5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.91,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Philadelphia Phillies13c394.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.314,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Philadelphia Phillies38c384.41$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.931,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies28c357.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.628,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Texas Rangers41c338$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4244643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies17c320.86$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.111,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Texas Rangers43c314.17$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7515847.5%75 W · 83 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers65c306$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.786,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Texas Rangers43c300$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17165651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Texas Rangers40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18011647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Philadelphia Phillies37c299.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.993627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Philadelphia Phillies59c286.44$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1693850%19 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Philadelphia Phillies59c286.44$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1695541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Philadelphia Phillies57c285.77$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.471,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x10da…a09abacked Philadelphia Phillies11c282.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Philadelphia Phillies60c270$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16291749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Philadelphia Phillies15c270$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.578146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Texas Rangers55c265.45$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.458355.4%46 W · 37 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Philadelphia Phillies46c265$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5511057.3%63 W · 47 L+6.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Philadelphia Phillies59c252.54$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14938455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Texas Rangers41c248.78$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7812257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Texas Rangers41c248$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3231949.5%158 W · 161 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Texas Rangers41c248$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3217151.5%88 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Texas Rangers41c248$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.3211953.8%64 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7cb…bc54backed Texas Rangers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.914953%79 W · 70 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Texas Rangers41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.98847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Texas Rangers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.112655.6%70 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Texas Rangers42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.110056%56 W · 44 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Texas Rangers52c234$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.49837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.