Tennis · resolved market
Brazzaville: Elijah Sanogo vs Ivan Marrero
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74be314dca6c6c08ef980a3d1a42386945dc870a8e2ce1cb12b8843c3ac96065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ivan Marreroof Elijah Sanogo, Ivan Marrero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,362
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,362 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92b5…fec6backed Elijah Sanogo | 9c | 7,383$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.33 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Elijah Sanogo | 9c | 1,812$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.38 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Elijah Sanogo | 15c | 1,586$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.9 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Elijah Sanogo | 9c | 1,408$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.43 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Elijah Sanogo | 17c | 881.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Elijah Sanogo | 17c | 754.18$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Elijah Sanogo | 8c | 551.86$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Elijah Sanogo | 16c | 503.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.61 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Elijah Sanogo | 15c | 347.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.98 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Elijah Sanogo | 10c | 326.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Elijah Sanogo | 19c | 308.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 573 | 21.8%125 W · 448 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Elijah Sanogo | 17c | 299.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Elijah Sanogo | 8c | 272.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Elijah Sanogo | 19c | 269.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 681 | 57.6%392 W · 289 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Elijah Sanogo | 15c | 267$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Elijah Sanogo | 15c | 251$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Elijah Sanogo | 20c | 247.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Elijah Sanogo | 7c | 215.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…6a46backed Elijah Sanogo | 14c | 214.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 184 | 10.9%20 W · 164 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Elijah Sanogo | 14c | 180.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Elijah Sanogo | 13c | 152$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Elijah Sanogo | 19c | 149.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Elijah Sanogo | 15c | 124.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Elijah Sanogo | 13c | 114.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | -74.2wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Elijah Sanogo | 19c | 110$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382b…506cbacked Elijah Sanogo | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Elijah Sanogo | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 19.7%58 W · 237 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Elijah Sanogo | 13c | 85.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Elijah Sanogo | 16c | 80.46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Elijah Sanogo | 18c | 72.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Ivan Marrero | 80c | 53.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5a…07b6backed Elijah Sanogo | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 252 | 40.5%102 W · 150 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Ivan Marrero | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.