TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santos: Santiago De La Fuente vs Franco Roncadelli

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Franco Roncadelliof Santiago De La Fuente, Franco Roncadelli
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$178,460

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1ef5…dc05backed Santiago De La Fuente28c17,355$4,845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,845.254928.6%14 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-34.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Santiago De La Fuente17c10,000$1,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.2618337.7%69 W · 114 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Santiago De La Fuente8c9,067$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.514343.4%62 W · 81 L-14.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Franco Roncadelli77c7,123$5,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b2…0f1ebacked Santiago De La Fuente6c6,920$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.366341.3%26 W · 37 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Santiago De La Fuente20c6,202$1,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.0313843.5%60 W · 78 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Santiago De La Fuente7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9931234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Franco Roncadelli76c5,167$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.2711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Santiago De La Fuente21c4,727$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004339.5%17 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Santiago De La Fuente3c3,247$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.426,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Santiago De La Fuente3c3,222$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.211,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Santiago De La Fuente6c3,000$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16849252.4%258 W · 234 L+28.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Santiago De La Fuente3c2,082$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.694,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Santiago De La Fuente2c1,985$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.132,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f44…1c0bbacked Santiago De La Fuente14c1,914$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.02922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-51.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Santiago De La Fuente16c1,780$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.6228933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Santiago De La Fuente37c1,631$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60041645.4%189 W · 227 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Santiago De La Fuente14c1,413$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Franco Roncadelli74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.3594068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Santiago De La Fuente18c1,232$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.768937.1%33 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Santiago De La Fuente10c1,126$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.688,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Santiago De La Fuente11c1,121$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.81,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…9507backed Santiago De La Fuente14c1,039$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504922.4%11 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Santiago De La Fuente17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17061924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa164…7d86backed Santiago De La Fuente28c993.75$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.2522248.2%107 W · 115 L+13.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Santiago De La Fuente3c931$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.371,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Santiago De La Fuente20c914.9$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.3443647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd80a…c494backed Santiago De La Fuente21c867.58$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.443132.3%10 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+45.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Santiago De La Fuente15c829.11$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.433,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Santiago De La Fuente9c756.67$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6817138.6%66 W · 105 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Franco Roncadelli70c698.14$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.774,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Santiago De La Fuente16c635.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.131,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d1…edabbacked Santiago De La Fuente9c556.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507125.4%18 W · 53 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc33e…b4b6backed Santiago De La Fuente8c548.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518545.4%84 W · 101 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Franco Roncadelli78c499.99$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1111,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Santiago De La Fuente18c499.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.452,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Santiago De La Fuente5c444.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.56,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Santiago De La Fuente21c443.4$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0857321.8%125 W · 448 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9685…718ebacked Santiago De La Fuente11c399.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Santiago De La Fuente6c336.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.038,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Santiago De La Fuente6c313.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9685624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ee…f785backed Santiago De La Fuente17c282.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Santiago De La Fuente34c261.65$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9646040%184 W · 276 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Santiago De La Fuente20c243.35$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6750340%201 W · 302 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Santiago De La Fuente17c235$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.957,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Santiago De La Fuente18c213.19$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3916349.7%81 W · 82 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Franco Roncadelli74c211.24$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.2484968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Santiago De La Fuente18c188.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0296755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8ad…7889backed Franco Roncadelli71c168.66$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6756070.7%396 W · 164 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick73cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3797…8be6backed Santiago De La Fuente7c164.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1995…9921backed Franco Roncadelli68c163.35$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.273661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa0b…9672backed Santiago De La Fuente18c150.93$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1723126%60 W · 171 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe658…2c42backed Santiago De La Fuente19c150$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.539842.2%168 W · 230 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e7…dfaabacked Santiago De La Fuente20c143.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35125.5%13 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed19…83babacked Santiago De La Fuente8c141.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5884736%305 W · 542 L-35.7wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Franco Roncadelli76c136.84$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.8443062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santiago De La Fuente11c111.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.877,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Franco Roncadelli73c102.34$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.341,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86ff…1d98backed Santiago De La Fuente17c101.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.175135.3%18 W · 33 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x83de…1786backed Santiago De La Fuente16c101.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.389041.1%37 W · 53 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Santiago De La Fuente26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2626548.7%129 W · 136 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Santiago De La Fuente14c97.24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.515,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Santiago De La Fuente12c95.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.166,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Santiago De La Fuente26c88.88$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.913,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf4f7…b944backed Santiago De La Fuente17c86.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.082015%3 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-66.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Santiago De La Fuente17c75$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.751,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Franco Roncadelli73c58.83$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7132240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Santiago De La Fuente19c53$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.071,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Santiago De La Fuente20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1090340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Santiago De La Fuente26c39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.149527.4%26 W · 69 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Franco Roncadelli74c32.12$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2332853%174 W · 154 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed Franco Roncadelli78c32.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.0515058.7%88 W · 62 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa56d…3053backed Franco Roncadelli71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1721765.9%143 W · 74 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Franco Roncadelli74c26.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.826575.4%49 W · 16 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc444…5eeabacked Franco Roncadelli77c25.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9423073.9%170 W · 60 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick78cpaid-4.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x680d…05eabacked Franco Roncadelli76c19.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6918659.7%111 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66a6…f22bbacked Franco Roncadelli69c18.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e8…d7b7backed Franco Roncadelli80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+51.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.