Fifa International · resolved market
WIll Lamine Yamal play in the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb67aec985158d4a29426af9340e59bfbf6dcd78044b06707ae5b15137fa134d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,094
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,094 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked No | 7c | 2,076$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.07 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9070…e32cbacked No | 1c | 1,457$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x328b…fa07backed No | 3c | 970.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 7c | 526.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b54…abd2backed No | 28c | 343.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 34.4%43 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…285fbacked No | 10c | 206.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 14cpaid | +246.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd237…9198backed No | 7c | 140.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f9…df8cbacked No | 26c | 119.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad20…2f32backed No | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 16c | 94.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 315 | 53%167 W · 148 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33d7…0ffebacked Yes | 72c | 33.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4388…5050backed Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.