Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f8de1d68d89260f4df5b4e8c077e4bf2c8f831c922c3a43ed90cf488c1411ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Northern Iowa Panthers, Drake Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 5,908$2,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,916.04 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 5,881$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,987.47 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 2,462$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.09 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Drake Bulldogs | 49c | 2,319$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.27 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 1,151$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.3 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Drake Bulldogs | 53c | 943.38$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 444.56$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.73 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 49c | 364$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.64 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 62c | 301.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.16 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 51c | 202$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 102$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Drake Bulldogs | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Drake Bulldogs | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,162 | 55.2%641 W · 521 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34a…b1a1backed Drake Bulldogs | 50c | 73.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 50c | 56.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 48c | 42.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Drake Bulldogs | 51c | 40.79$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Drake Bulldogs | 55c | 38.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 52c | 22.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Drake Bulldogs | 55c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Drake Bulldogs | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-9.5)this page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa PanthersNorthern Iowa Panthers won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-8.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.