Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf5c8f9ffc9f803e1a7fb8420e30fc575edb7f410807e705b678b3e9912fbde9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Iowa Panthersof Drake Bulldogs, Northern Iowa Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,166
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,166 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 5,093$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.81 | 85 | 17.6%15 W · 70 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Drake Bulldogs | 27c | 1,848$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 1,550$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Drake Bulldogs | 5c | 1,511$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.7 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 1,238$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.25 | 122 | 51.6%63 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Drake Bulldogs | 13c | 1,050$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 983.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.81 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 650$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Drake Bulldogs | 14c | 632.68$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 625.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.44 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Drake Bulldogs | 7c | 613.37$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.03 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 75c | 363.2$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Drake Bulldogs | 16c | 358.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.59 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 311.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 249.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 20c | 244.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 230.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Drake Bulldogs | 9c | 190$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…22e4backed Drake Bulldogs | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 28c | 178.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…4fc5backed Drake Bulldogs | 12c | 167.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 124.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 121$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 78c | 113.4$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…0502backed Drake Bulldogs | 23c | 106.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 17c | 78.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Drake Bulldogs | 21c | 77.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Northern Iowa Panthers | 72c | 73.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.76 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c4…d7dfbacked Drake Bulldogs | 18c | 55.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Drake Bulldogs | 19c | 52.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Northern Iowa Panthers | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthersthis page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 136.5Over won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Northern Iowa Panthers: O/U 137.5Over won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-8.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
- Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-9.5)Northern Iowa Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.