Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfecb81255df0f2af8cefe52071b9df84c9b8a8a1b893bbb8b1072562fd5259b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinois Fighting Illiniof Illinois Fighting Illini, Indiana Hoosiers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 5,718$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,951.61 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,574.99 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…5d07backed Indiana Hoosiers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 1,957$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 1,723$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.38 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 871.29$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.31 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 700$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 645.64$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.31 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 634.6$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…7909backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 588.64$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.75 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 55c | 578.64$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.25 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 454.26$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.67 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Indiana Hoosiers | 55c | 452.53$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 429.23$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.03 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 315.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 48c | 265.38$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.38 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…e09dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 265.38$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.38 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…a928backed Indiana Hoosiers | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -5.3wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 252.87$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Indiana Hoosiers | 53c | 249.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 52c | 217.97$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 184.38$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 44c | 181.54$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.64 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 164.29$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 149.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Indiana Hoosiers | 49c | 117.65$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.65 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 43c | 111.58$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f9…8d2dbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 108.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 45c | 106.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…4f43backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 98.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…bb1abacked Indiana Hoosiers | 57c | 83.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 49c | 81.53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.62 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 58.88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 211 | 52.1%110 W · 101 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Indiana Hoosiers | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Indiana Hoosiers | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 47c | 49.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.06 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 41c | 43.25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 54c | 37.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 46c | 36.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…4c1bbacked Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 29.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.11 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 41c | 29.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Indiana Hoosiers | 55c | 21.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ee…0bb0backed Illinois Fighting Illini | 52c | 21.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked Indiana Hoosiers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Indiana Hoosiers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-10.5)this page
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5Under won
- Indiana Hoosiers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 152.5Under won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-8.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.