Premier League · resolved market
West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe13fc795f44efde1cb278a1bbf97a2a6358f3f550435ae143376555c132b3c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 41c | 1,639$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.96 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 1,510$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 36c | 617.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.41 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 59c | 601.06$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.94 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 570.09$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 50c | 512.16$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 48c | 268.44$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.59 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 49c | 227.9$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.13 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 106.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 76c | 102.67$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Under | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 216 | 48.6%105 W · 111 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 49c | 58.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 53c | 55.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 65c | 46.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 284 | 56.7%161 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 317 | 46.1%146 W · 171 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 36c | 40.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 49c | 39.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 357 | 43.1%154 W · 203 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…3f93backed Over | 49c | 39.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Under | 52c | 37.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 57c | 34.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 180 | 59.4%107 W · 73 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 47c | 33.97$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…a2dabacked Over | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 223 | 56.5%126 W · 97 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 48c | 27.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f86…ef4ebacked Under | 49c | 25.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 52c | 24.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 24.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 53c | 20.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Watford FC (-2.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-2.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- West Bromwich Albion FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.