NHL · resolved market
Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3bb72bb1d52a6909e3a1874308b81bc368a563c0044396c4ae9e4ab1275eb41
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Over | 49c | 37,827$18,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,428.76 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 15,620$8,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,591.58 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 51c | 12,131$6,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,944.13 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 53c | 12,078$6,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,719.08 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 49c | 9,348$4,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,563.53 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 3,388$1,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.33 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Under | 55c | 2,782$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 2,032$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.32 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 51c | 1,919$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.99 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 51c | 1,837$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.29 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 51c | 1,774$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.55 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 51c | 1,617$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.49 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 47c | 1,227$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.57 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 52c | 1,226$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.46 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,222$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.56 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe458…7abebacked Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 53c | 559.76$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.09 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 399.97$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 52c | 389$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 48c | 387.5$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 53c | 363$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.47 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 52c | 305.77$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.77 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfccf…8c8abacked Over | 48c | 302$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaac…7d80backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 47c | 297.87$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…702dbacked Over | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 51.1%113 W · 108 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 51c | 201.77$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.93 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Over | 47c | 189.36$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Over | 48c | 170.42$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.8 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Over | 10c | 166.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Over | 48c | 159.38$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 51c | 137$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 40c | 110.81$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x749b…47b3backed Over | 48c | 103.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Under | 52c | 97.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.83 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4b…8616backed Over | 48c | 68.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 173 | 43.4%75 W · 98 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…6039backed Over | 47c | 64.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Under | 52c | 57.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 63c | 56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 52c | 54.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 51c | 48.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e56…50e3backed Over | 48c | 45.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe65…0546backed Over | 47c | 42.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Over | 48c | 42.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…81f7backed Over | 49c | 41.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 276 | 52.2%144 W · 132 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 53c | 40.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Under | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 52c | 39.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 48c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35b6…e9babacked Under | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 47c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2110…d4fbbacked Under | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Under | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Over | 48c | 27.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 368 | 52.2%192 W · 176 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 53c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Over | 48c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 49c | 23.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9260…1068backed Under | 53c | 19.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9f…3973backed Under | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5this page
- Panthers vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)Senators won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.