NHL · resolved market
Spread: Senators (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14e6240b2e9f5be22b0232216ed7e8623dc3a987ae3436757faae1cb4f545ada
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senatorsof Senators, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Senators | 55c | 4,553$2,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,048.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Panthers | 45c | 2,724$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.75 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Panthers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Panthers | 45c | 1,560$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.78 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Panthers | 51c | 1,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.99 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Panthers | 44c | 1,032$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.21 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Senators | 49c | 984.91$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.3 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Senators | 55c | 768.27$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…18c6backed Senators | 54c | 543.52$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.86 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Panthers | 51c | 475.78$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.65 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Panthers | 44c | 452.12$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.93 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Panthers | 51c | 448.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Panthers | 50c | 448.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.23 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Senators | 56c | 434.64$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Panthers | 44c | 329.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.96 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Senators | 55c | 233.71$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.17 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…fbfebacked Panthers | 48c | 213$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Panthers | 50c | 196.87$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Panthers | 36c | 195$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Senators | 50c | 172.84$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Senators | 49c | 157.04$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.09 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…3647backed Senators | 56c | 151.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Panthers | 48c | 143.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.86 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe13c…6b2fbacked Senators | 52c | 142.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5559…2bd2backed Senators | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.79 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Senators | 49c | 99.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.81 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Senators | 52c | 89.9$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Senators | 53c | 81.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.08 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Panthers | 44c | 77.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…a398backed Senators | 52c | 64.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Senators | 56c | 60.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +10.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Senators | 57c | 58.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Panthers | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x924d…3429backed Senators | 52c | 56.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Panthers | 51c | 53.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Panthers | 45c | 49.32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Panthers | 45c | 47.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Panthers | 48c | 47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Panthers | 44c | 46.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.81 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf16…9c6fbacked Senators | 56c | 44.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.1wins | -0.30per pick | 54cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Panthers | 44c | 44.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Panthers | 45c | 43.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Panthers | 45c | 39.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Panthers | 47c | 39.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Panthers | 50c | 39.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Panthers | 44c | 28.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Senators | 56c | 26.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Panthers | 45c | 24.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Senators | 75c | 21.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Senators | 52c | 20.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Senators | 49c | 20.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa9…4baabacked Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Senators | 52c | 19.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Senators (-1.5)this page
- Panthers vs. SenatorsSenators won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 4.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 5.5Over won
- Panthers vs. Senators: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.