NHL · resolved market
Wild vs. Blues: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa122b9e25df50760908a7bb0ca0852e3c794f147a3f479c314d9cdd3a2bf2333
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,470
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,722
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,470 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 51c | 30,060$15,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,200.41 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 49c | 9,729$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,961.57 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 5,614$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.65 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 52c | 4,179$2,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.8 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 4,002$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,021.09 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 45c | 1,525$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.4 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 51c | 1,082$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 52c | 1,058$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.07 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7e…5fddbacked Over | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Under | 52c | 883.69$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 53c | 747.17$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.17 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Over | 54c | 718.71$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.17 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 631$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.19 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 52c | 627.58$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.24 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 49c | 600.79$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 52c | 571$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.09 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 49c | 550.4$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.35 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 52c | 466.06$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.7 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…a390backed Under | 46c | 450$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 52c | 401.79$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 49c | 357$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.07 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Over | 52c | 355.52$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.65 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 52c | 339$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 339 | 50.1%170 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Over | 51c | 336.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.07 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…bb32backed Over | 51c | 309.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…e5d1backed Under | 49c | 303$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 355 | 51%181 W · 174 L | +18.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…ef38backed Over | 52c | 282$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64bc…9f4fbacked Under | 49c | 280$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Under | 49c | 226.53$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 48c | 218$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.64 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf30…8b95backed Under | 27c | 218$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 52c | 214.47$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 209$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.41 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 46c | 152.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 48c | 145.15$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 140.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Over | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Over | 52c | 119.1$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.17 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 48c | 116.47$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 51c | 89.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 47c | 88.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 47c | 58.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…5124backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 212 | 43.4%92 W · 120 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Under | 48c | 48.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Over | 52c | 48.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x852f…3aaebacked Over | 52c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 55c | 44.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 54c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Over | 52c | 35.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 42c | 28.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6472…81e3backed Over | 51c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…29b6backed Under | 50c | 22.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 203 | 50.7%103 W · 100 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 58c | 18.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 5.5this page
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)Blues won
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)Blues won
- Wild vs. BluesBlues won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 4.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 6.5Over won
- Wild vs. Blues: O/U 7.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.