MLB · resolved market
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x451c25f2036c210c3c0467161c9f917c09a5e5011c80cbe2f89c82d46138b625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Over | 45c | 7,253$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,263.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 57c | 5,621$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.15 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 53c | 2,998$1,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.91 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 57c | 2,960$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.84 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 56c | 2,560$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.07 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 45c | 2,439$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.81 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 47c | 1,936$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.11 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 56c | 1,569$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.4 | 7,046 | 50.5%3,560 W · 3,486 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 43c | 1,440$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.22 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 54c | 1,363$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.06 | 1,359 | 50.8%690 W · 669 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 1,194$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.17 | 5,517 | 50.6%2,791 W · 2,726 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 44c | 1,008$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.46 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 56c | 912.26$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.4 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Over | 43c | 909.88$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.09 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 901.78$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.72 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Over | 43c | 796.26$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 704.57$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.06 | 1,305 | 50.2%655 W · 650 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Under | 55c | 690.41$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.69 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 57c | 594.26$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Under | 53c | 499.98$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.99 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Over | 42c | 450.13$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.05 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9,862 | 46.4%4,579 W · 5,283 L | +40.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055a…12ddbacked Over | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 28c | 362.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.58 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Under | 55c | 317.96$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 56c | 272.43$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.75 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Over | 47c | 263.5$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…3b7fbacked Over | 47c | 258.27$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 47c | 245.49$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.38 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 233.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 11,606 | 52.8%6,131 W · 5,475 L | +210.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcff3…2eeebacked Over | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb8…902abacked Over | 21c | 226.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 23c | 203.45$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…eecabacked Over | 47c | 175.1$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.3 | 222 | 48.6%108 W · 114 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 26c | 170.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 27c | 158.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 47c | 144.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 56c | 136.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.14 | 413 | 41.2%170 W · 243 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Over | 42c | 130.55$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Under | 56c | 130.39$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 546 | 54.9%300 W · 246 L | +12.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf375…a60cbacked Under | 43c | 113.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Under | 80c | 111.11$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 882 | 53.7%474 W · 408 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Over | 45c | 96.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.52 | 784 | 54.5%427 W · 357 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 57c | 94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 361 | 57.9%209 W · 152 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 43c | 85.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Over | 47c | 82.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…76ccbacked Under | 57c | 76.91$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Under | 54c | 75.32$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 36c | 72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 714 | 44.4%317 W · 397 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 58c | 67.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Over | 57c | 65.49$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2798…a9c7backed Over | 47c | 61.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 50c | 59.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 4,428 | 45.1%1,996 W · 2,432 L | +87.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 47c | 58.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 46c | 58.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 5,172 | 54.6%2,824 W · 2,348 L | +227.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 53c | 56.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 928 | 54%501 W · 427 L | +22.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 53c | 48.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 877 | 53%465 W · 412 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Under | 58c | 47.89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under | 55c | 43.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 45c | 42.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 47c | 41.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,205 | 49%591 W · 614 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3255…ffb9backed Under | 54c | 39.73$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 181 | 53.6%97 W · 84 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 62c | 39.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,376 | 54.3%747 W · 629 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 58c | 37.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd281…d824backed Over | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Over | 47c | 30.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 63c | 28.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +147.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5880…c43cbacked Over | 41c | 26.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d19…a694backed Over | 42c | 25.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 55c | 22.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1812…0db6backed Over | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Under | 72c | 20.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 268 | 54.1%145 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…5dd2backed Under | 54c | 19.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 184 | 58.2%107 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.