MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb33c1a3971322615437c67ba22f569fa9f30792b4854e076d46f607d466e3cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Chicago Cubs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,554
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,327
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,554 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Chicago Cubs | 65c | 1,993$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.25 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 1,843$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.52 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 760.08$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.45 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago Cubs | 63c | 757.69$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.34 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 604.33$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.76 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 553.19$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.66 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 529.55$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.48 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 496.18$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.12 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Chicago Cubs | 29c | 469.26$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.09 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 422.91$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 77c | 306.72$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 293.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.67 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 260.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.35 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.69 | 569 | 46.9%267 W · 302 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Chicago Cubs | 65c | 225.92$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.85 | 481 | 50.7%244 W · 237 L | -19.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 209.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Chicago Cubs | 61c | 198.05$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Chicago Cubs | 41c | 178.11$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 145.87$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…650bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 36c | 132.89$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.05 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…7b56backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 126.68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.54 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Chicago Cubs | 43c | 121.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.75 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Chicago Cubs | 60c | 112.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…7507backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 110.56$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 105.25$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 91.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.68 | 203 | 51.7%105 W · 98 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27f…cdf5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 76.01$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 69$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago Cubs | 59c | 68.87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Chicago Cubs | 63c | 58.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 57.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…fc13backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 57.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Chicago Cubs | 64c | 53.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Chicago Cubs | 61c | 51.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeded…bfe9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c1…2c59backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 48.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 1,498 | 45.3%678 W · 820 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…cd51backed Chicago Cubs | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 35.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 34.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.37 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 31.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 41c | 27.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…9ce7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 24.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago Cubs | 62c | 23.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Cubs | 49c | 21.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Chicago Cubs | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Under won
- Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.