Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d961daa2a95b4dcc527ee969c08ff2285ac7d261ab1bbf1276f5c4f6a313f7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,327
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,327 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 1,599$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.57 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 1,233$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.3 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 1,131$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.19 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,118$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.84 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked Yakult Brothers | 47c | 1,037$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.56 | 365 | 47.7%174 W · 191 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Xtreme Gaming | 67c | 894.76$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.74 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…e444backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 883.02$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.05 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 781.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.7 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Yakult Brothers | 30c | 781.33$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 43c | 683.95$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.24 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Yakult Brothers | 79c | 633.14$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.92 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 617.61$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Yakult Brothers | 5c | 570.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 39c | 557.36$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469f…3d4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 517.99$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.09 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Yakult Brothers | 38c | 516.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 110 | 43.6%48 W · 62 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 420$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 385$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 376.15$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.35 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 373.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 361.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.29 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yakult Brothers | 12c | 355.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.72 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 335.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 313$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd309…dc1bbacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 301.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Yakult Brothers | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Yakult Brothers | 77c | 300$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee3…7c36backed Xtreme Gaming | 36c | 289.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.92 | 241 | 31.5%76 W · 165 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f0…b6c5backed Xtreme Gaming | 69c | 289.54$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c2…1c20backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 288.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.82 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe30c…3f38backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 247.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Yakult Brothers | 80c | 247$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Yakult Brothers | 32c | 246.84$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 218.92$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 213.23$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 208.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 194.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 191.44$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 179.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.12 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 160.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Yakult Brothers | 63c | 155.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1a…4e20backed Xtreme Gaming | 48c | 149.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 47c | 144.72$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.77 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5a…0ce5backed Xtreme Gaming | 62c | 138.7$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 130.93$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 125.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Yakult Brothers | 15c | 120.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 107.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Xtreme Gaming | 60c | 105.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 103.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yakult Brothers | 45c | 100.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.29 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Xtreme Gaming | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 20c | 94.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Yakult Brothers | 41c | 90.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Yakult Brothers | 52c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Yakult Brothers | 35c | 83.31$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…ea16backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 79.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…8c08backed Xtreme Gaming | 66c | 73.46$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd49…515dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 39c | 61.12$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.43 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9cdcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 50.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 49.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Yakult Brothers | 51c | 42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 47c | 41.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb382…c498backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 32.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yakult Brothers | 51c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Xtreme Gaming | 52c | 28.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382c…2261backed Xtreme Gaming | 65c | 19.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 211 | 55%116 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5349…a09dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 68c | 19.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Xtreme Gaming | 70c | 16.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Yakult Brothers | 73c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.