Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdffd18555b0661bce262bf7491f2ddfa54dd0e2800e5ca99d7db7b9a691713c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c30…54a2backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 4,637$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.73 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yakult Brothers | 25c | 3,693$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.98 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 3,176$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.91 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 2,702$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.25 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b8…61dcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 2,007$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.98 | 180 | 65.6%118 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Xtreme Gaming | 72c | 1,144$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.38 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 956.8$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.9 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 925.29$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.78 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 887.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.78 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 849.99$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.4 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Yakult Brothers | 22c | 803.55$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.7 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 760$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.6 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 639.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.92 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 586.89$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yakult Brothers | 28c | 517.96$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.5 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yakult Brothers | 26c | 506.76$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.61 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 29c | 462.24$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.05 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 442.4$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.47 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Yakult Brothers | 15c | 441.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…7b4fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 395.47$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 354 | 61.3%217 W · 137 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 386.26$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.47 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 377.26$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523e…3128backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed Yakult Brothers | 24c | 296.78$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4ca5backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 269.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yakult Brothers | 17c | 221.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Yakult Brothers | 23c | 208.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 286 | 50%143 W · 143 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 198.19$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 197.68$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 186.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Yakult Brothers | 28c | 184.23$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 200 | 43.5%87 W · 113 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd17f…0fb1backed Yakult Brothers | 16c | 164.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 157.05$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.27 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758f…dfb7backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 150.89$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 346 | 67.9%235 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Yakult Brothers | 20c | 142.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked Yakult Brothers | 9c | 126.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3a…e03dbacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 125.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 120.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 103.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yakult Brothers | 26c | 85.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Yakult Brothers | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 69.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.64 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 59.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Yakult Brothers | 22c | 51.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 51.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9fd8backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 45.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yakult Brothers | 25c | 42.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 26.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 75c | 26.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 214 | 65%139 W · 75 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier PlayoffsXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.