Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ff0e0eeff9e47ba9ac2a8dd9f63077cb013a7138f6a36b7b93d0c65e82c971d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xtreme Gamingof Xtreme Gaming, Yakult Brothers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,068
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,068 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Yakult Brothers | 29c | 1,892$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.92 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 998.6$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.5 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2156…5c9fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 849.99$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Yakult Brothers | 18c | 749.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.27 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fca…e8edbacked Yakult Brothers | 6c | 598$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Yakult Brothers | 27c | 589.4$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yakult Brothers | 19c | 455.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Xtreme Gaming | 64c | 382.12$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.16 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yakult Brothers | 11c | 359.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Yakult Brothers | 17c | 306.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.02 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yakult Brothers | 18c | 250.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984b…88fbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 215.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.21 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yakult Brothers | 11c | 157.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc937…273bbacked Yakult Brothers | 23c | 124.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Yakult Brothers | 39c | 120.44$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 340 | 45.9%156 W · 184 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Yakult Brothers | 15c | 101.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yakult Brothers | 13c | 82.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Xtreme Gaming | 59c | 82.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yakult Brothers | 21c | 74.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Yakult Brothers | 14c | 74.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…57d9backed Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 23.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebb…5db1backed Xtreme Gaming | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
- Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.