TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c64…89babacked Zero Tenacity19c2,086$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.4518745.5%85 W · 102 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Zero Tenacity2c1,750$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.26132.1%13 W · 600 L-23.4wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-76.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Zero Tenacity39c1,565$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.5651751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine72c1,500$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42079959.4%475 W · 324 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed Yellow Submarine61c1,412$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.4361745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Zero Tenacity12c1,371$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.536851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked Zero Tenacity32c1,371$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4336547.7%174 W · 191 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490b…eec9backed Zero Tenacity33c1,328$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.775841.4%24 W · 34 L-0.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…243cbacked Zero Tenacity43c1,153$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.22911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-80.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Zero Tenacity8c1,050$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9399844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yellow Submarine64c1,039$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.8286949%426 W · 443 L-3.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Yellow Submarine70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2ebb…0614backed Zero Tenacity37c984.98$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe207…56c7backed Zero Tenacity18c955.47$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.682857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Yellow Submarine56c766.05$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Zero Tenacity3c728.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7913228.8%38 W · 94 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed Yellow Submarine70c697.89$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.1250769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity35c479.36$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.032,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Yellow Submarine63c467.4$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.154556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Yellow Submarine62c396.74$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.7619664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7756…d00abacked Yellow Submarine55c396.45$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.425147.4%119 W · 132 L+12.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Yellow Submarine60c390.34$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1242145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Yellow Submarine57c382.93$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6852649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Zero Tenacity40c375.91$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.371,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine76c354.56$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.0951049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42f…9390backed Zero Tenacity28c341.71$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.689254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity26c328.56$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7667043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe999…12bdbacked Zero Tenacity36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10818156.4%102 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8a5…26a1backed Zero Tenacity34c293.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8811154.1%60 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yellow Submarine66c290.75$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.291,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yellow Submarine73c289.92$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.4946664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf138…c953backed Zero Tenacity34c284.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0110134.7%35 W · 66 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-35%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity39c261.37$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.812,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed Zero Tenacity62c256.17$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.7441655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Yellow Submarine59c248.14$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.921,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed Zero Tenacity11c237.37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1117454%94 W · 80 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a0b…c3cbbacked Zero Tenacity45c234.7$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.81812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-81.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d66…ffc9backed Yellow Submarine70c231.93$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.692347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x672d…dbd7backed Yellow Submarine66c210.2$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9940047.5%190 W · 210 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x974f…cd80backed Yellow Submarine64c207.86$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.155147.5%262 W · 289 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aab…15c5backed Yellow Submarine57c202.84$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.224647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d36…51debacked Yellow Submarine63c200.91$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.125330.2%16 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Yellow Submarine60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8097142.7%415 W · 556 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…a5edbacked Yellow Submarine65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7040644.6%181 W · 225 L+0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb11…8f3fbacked Yellow Submarine70c199.99$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5910551.4%54 W · 51 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3162…d515backed Zero Tenacity14c198.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8835948.2%173 W · 186 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5564…9f7ebacked Zero Tenacity11c182.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity43c181.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.611,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Zero Tenacity39c179.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.061,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked Yellow Submarine59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.720043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Zero Tenacity46c167.11$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6838855.2%214 W · 174 L+29.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcbf0…4046backed Zero Tenacity31c158.76$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.214259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Zero Tenacity58c152.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6114661%89 W · 57 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed Zero Tenacity65c150.56$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.946049.8%229 W · 231 L+2.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Zero Tenacity22c135.49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1317353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a96…3087backed Zero Tenacity40c132.45$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9813850%69 W · 69 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Zero Tenacity41c131.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5436044.2%159 W · 201 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yellow Submarine64c129.85$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.756033.3%20 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee3…7c36backed Zero Tenacity35c117.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8224131.5%76 W · 165 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Yellow Submarine61c112.07$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7120151.2%103 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine62c109.88$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.412,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Zero Tenacity40c108.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4136654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f79…434abacked Zero Tenacity39c104.52$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5149644.6%221 W · 275 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Zero Tenacity22c85.36$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8661548.8%300 W · 315 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity38c79.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.61,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Zero Tenacity38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.524527.3%67 W · 178 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed Zero Tenacity38c75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed Yellow Submarine49c70.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9348352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c52…677dbacked Zero Tenacity36c66.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.898746%40 W · 47 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd49…515dbacked Zero Tenacity29c65.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.059555.8%53 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Yellow Submarine59c64.04$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.351,26049.7%626 W · 634 L+21.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a9…263cbacked Zero Tenacity17c62.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6724137.3%90 W · 151 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Yellow Submarine60c62.26$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1825248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed Yellow Submarine47c58.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1420448%98 W · 106 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x984b…88fbbacked Zero Tenacity43c57.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.75160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Zero Tenacity30c56.04$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8141037.3%153 W · 257 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine60c55.49$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.461,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6126…3fcfbacked Yellow Submarine64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x127e…cca1backed Yellow Submarine62c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.446150.8%234 W · 227 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Zero Tenacity23c46.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5820954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Zero Tenacity57c44.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6986659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Zero Tenacity50c42.78$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3925457.9%147 W · 107 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Zero Tenacity42c41.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4865337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Yellow Submarine55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1825648%123 W · 133 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeaff…5f75backed Yellow Submarine43c38.55$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e3e…a78abacked Yellow Submarine70c35.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8541244.7%184 W · 228 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Yellow Submarine43c35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9535032.3%113 W · 237 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed Zero Tenacity39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6435430.5%108 W · 246 L-27.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-41.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yellow Submarine56c34.92$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.446162.3%38 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72c2…5e74backed Zero Tenacity36c32.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8179343.6%346 W · 447 L+38.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53fe…0485backed Zero Tenacity45c32.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b41…2c02backed Yellow Submarine61c31.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2872637.5%272 W · 454 L+3.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Yellow Submarine61c31.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.398641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity33c30.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Yellow Submarine70c29.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.841,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked Yellow Submarine61c27.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6819951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d8…b421backed Yellow Submarine60c23.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.541163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2131…1e8bbacked Yellow Submarine59c21.7$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.954247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90cb…4622backed Yellow Submarine65c21.09$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yellow Submarine59c21.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.646055%33 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.