Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42fdf66d080421453d5c8c3f6a2321028bed5a34c84e71d5efde9c495db99595
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nongshim Red Forceof Nongshim Red Force, DN SOOPers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,330
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,330 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 14,970$4,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,988.67 | 664 | 37.2%247 W · 417 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 12,778$8,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,561.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked DN SOOPers | 67c | 777$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.59 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed DN SOOPers | 67c | 585.19$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.08 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked DN SOOPers | 69c | 439.58$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.38 | 372 | 45.2%168 W · 204 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 309.23$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.37 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed DN SOOPers | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098c…1c67backed DN SOOPers | 56c | 253.39$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.9 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…d8e4backed Nongshim Red Force | 75c | 129.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Nongshim Red Force | 35c | 110.01$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nongshim Red Force | 31c | 105.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed DN SOOPers | 42c | 81.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed DN SOOPers | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 432 | 33.8%146 W · 286 L | -20.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked DN SOOPers | 67c | 64.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed DN SOOPers | 72c | 64.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked DN SOOPers | 65c | 57.73$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 142 | 28.2%40 W · 102 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaff…5f75backed Nongshim Red Force | 58c | 43.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed DN SOOPers | 62c | 42.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 642 | 43%276 W · 366 L | -27.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…71a5backed DN SOOPers | 70c | 42.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked DN SOOPers | 75c | 42.03$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.52 | 118 | 51.7%61 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nongshim Red Force | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed DN SOOPers | 66c | 16.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5)this page
- Game Handicap: DNS (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Nongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.