Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f303e8dfc34cf0f9119f80b65c6ffaf5b8c114c98846a484e0d6bd462aacf5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed No | 9c | 1,564$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 38c | 858.01$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.27 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 36c | 605.17$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 32c | 535.42$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.56 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed No | 71c | 362.89$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.85 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 60c | 361.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 28c | 357.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.76 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 23c | 354.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.4 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 48c | 353.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.09 | 722 | 22.3%161 W · 561 L | -37.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 19c | 340.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.22 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x593c…2c68backed No | 30c | 335.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 12c | 276.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c1…9615backed No | 15c | 261.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed No | 73c | 261.11$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 256$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 244$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.79 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 26c | 235.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 6c | 225.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 21c | 220.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 215.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.57 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed No | 10c | 214.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 67c | 205.14$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 40c | 204.44$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.64 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 41c | 191.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.06 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 173.68$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 19c | 170.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 50c | 164.33$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.9 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked No | 13c | 161.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…3c74backed Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 56c | 149.33$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.65 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba9…9c5bbacked No | 75c | 137.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.94 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -10.9wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3a…d3e3backed No | 73c | 136.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 86%49 W · 8 L | +11.2wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 129.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.59 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed No | 48c | 129.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 26c | 129.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.63 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f5…f4f5backed Yes | 29c | 116.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.61 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…225bbacked No | 45c | 116$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…8dcbbacked No | 74c | 114.71$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ae…3b52backed Yes | 34c | 106.04$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.47 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 12c | 102.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.82 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…dd17backed No | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 278 | 41%114 W · 164 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 50c | 100.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 31c | 99.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.58 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 54c | 95.44$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.51 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafc…ec67backed Yes | 75c | 94.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 447 | 57.3%256 W · 191 L | +53.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…ace0backed No | 64c | 84.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 15c | 83.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.52 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 72c | 78$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked No | 27c | 70.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5470…0af7backed No | 74c | 67.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 328 | 72%236 W · 92 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…3884backed Yes | 16c | 66.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.93 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 67c | 65.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 78c | 65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 40c | 64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed No | 69c | 61.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 61.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71b5…6dabbacked No | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eaa…3561backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 106 | 36.8%39 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…58b3backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf279…202cbacked No | 31c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 76c | 55.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.91 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b2…605cbacked No | 80c | 50.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 22c | 48.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…190dbacked Yes | 27c | 47.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.86 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked No | 69c | 47.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba4…70c0backed No | 65c | 43.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed No | 70c | 42.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…c0a7backed No | 73c | 41.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…8010backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1,271 | 47.6%605 W · 666 L | -25.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 55c | 35.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 66c | 34.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82bb…7e81backed Yes | 75c | 33.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x506c…840cbacked Yes | 48c | 33.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 151 | 52.3%79 W · 72 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 40c | 32.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.24per pick | 39cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 45c | 32.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3937…9a0dbacked Yes | 36c | 29.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 37c | 29.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…2b99backed No | 74c | 27.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 66c | 26.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…a763backed No | 75c | 26.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 236 | 68.2%161 W · 75 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8961…ab1abacked No | 75c | 26.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 254 | 66.9%170 W · 84 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 70c | 26.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 75c | 24.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 49c | 24.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed No | 70c | 23.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9151…a93ebacked No | 69c | 23.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…940ebacked No | 69c | 23.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 170 | 71.2%121 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…8809backed Yes | 66c | 22.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ea…7ef6backed No | 69c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 116 | 70.7%82 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on May 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 77°F or below on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on May 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.