CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x94f2ec9a40e4c3e3ecfb64af5a0826ddb19391a0d2b3906a307b8b090287539d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Basement Bobsof AaB Esport, Basement Bobs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,235
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,235 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed AaB Esport | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AaB Esport | 68c | 1,693$1,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.11 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AaB Esport | 33c | 998.76$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Basement Bobs | 64c | 769.37$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.55 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basement Bobs | 35c | 600$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Basement Bobs | 34c | 565.77$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.7 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Basement Bobs | 31c | 540$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.6 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AaB Esport | 47c | 478.7$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed Basement Bobs | 62c | 466.32$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.85 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed AaB Esport | 34c | 341.43$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.55 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Basement Bobs | 65c | 316.23$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Basement Bobs | 40c | 288.53$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.15 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Basement Bobs | 31c | 244.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.03 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Basement Bobs | 36c | 227.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed AaB Esport | 59c | 209.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Basement Bobs | 31c | 133.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.05 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked AaB Esport | 39c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9233…b93abacked Basement Bobs | 38c | 110.72$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.65 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked AaB Esport | 39c | 102$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Basement Bobs | 57c | 99.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Basement Bobs | 57c | 95.71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Basement Bobs | 57c | 85.52$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Basement Bobs | 58c | 84.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.62 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed Basement Bobs | 59c | 82.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3e…9120backed Basement Bobs | 63c | 77.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Basement Bobs | 70c | 57.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Basement Bobs | 69c | 57.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Basement Bobs | 70c | 45.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Basement Bobs | 55c | 40.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.21 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3a…f788backed Basement Bobs | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 163 | 38.7%63 W · 100 L | -13.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed AaB Esport | 37c | 39.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Basement Bobs | 34c | 39.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Basement Bobs | 31c | 37.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Basement Bobs | 37c | 31.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…907cbacked AaB Esport | 62c | 31.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Basement Bobs | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Basement Bobs | 62c | 29.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed AaB Esport | 35c | 28.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed AaB Esport | 36c | 27.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 Group BAaB Esport won
- Counter-Strike: AaB Esport vs Basement Bobs - Map 2 WinnerAaB Esport won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.