Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c4bde218ae1287216bbe8b841876ca302a391273c7d2e1654e4f10fa447fb08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 17c | 4,562$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 28c | 1,118$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.14 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 65c | 696.89$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.89 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 37c | 605.23$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.35 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dc…d8a5backed Over | 61c | 532.79$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.79 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 63c | 485.43$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.61 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 35c | 380.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.91 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 79c | 362.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.36 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…c991backed Over | 64c | 308.29$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.46 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 17c | 252.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 34c | 115$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.67 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa410…f61fbacked Over | 64c | 94.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.98 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca3…ec90backed Over | 63c | 77.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…228ebacked Under | 38c | 70$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 38c | 67.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 398 | 52.5%209 W · 189 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 63c | 47.65$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 41.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 41.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 70c | 35.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…5a88backed Over | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 63c | 25.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Over | 64c | 23.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Over | 76c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc435…e961backed Over | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.