Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb50267aeb4209cfc2ce66538938b60d027ce1c0a3a0a1b8bdbe7f6510beb3f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,905
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,905 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 4,504$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.17 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 2,284$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.4 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 1,892$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 39c | 939.32$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.53 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 37c | 779.6$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.16 | 75 | 16%12 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 56c | 683.04$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.54 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 53c | 597.16$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 40c | 562.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.55 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 444$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.75 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 57c | 418$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…dbfdbacked Over | 53c | 292.57$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 50c | 288.62$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.31 | 174 | 21.8%38 W · 136 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 239.16$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.45 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 59c | 211.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 41c | 204.27$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc78a…fae0backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…bb24backed Over | 67c | 180.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 25c | 161.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 48c | 157.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 57c | 134.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.78 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 64c | 116.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.42 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 53c | 110$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.3 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 57c | 101.81$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.78 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.66 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 53c | 98.08$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 40c | 97.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Over | 42c | 91.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed Under | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 46c | 73.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.02 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…e7e0backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 57c | 61$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 41c | 56.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09d4…5f81backed Over | 32c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 48.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 60c | 47.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Over | 63c | 44.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 130 | 36.9%48 W · 82 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 42c | 39.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x651c…1084backed Over | 51c | 39.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 68c | 36.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…c03dbacked Under | 56c | 33.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf406…236ebacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 61c | 31.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Under | 59c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 68c | 20.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked Under | 60c | 20.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 3.5this page
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Molde FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Molde FK (-2.5)Sarpsborg 08 FF won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)Molde FK won
- Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-2.5)Molde FK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.