Other European Leagues · resolved market
Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a9169b7797998c83a6db37d72a5fa56f6355bb7c432de6269fb61d9983b6bd3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 3,615$2,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.15 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.98 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 15c | 1,813$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.94 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…82fdbacked Under | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over | 9c | 299$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 79c | 114.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 119 | 68.1%81 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 35c | 59.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 35c | 48.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 74c | 26.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 74c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Under | 67c | 17.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 17.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Under | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 52 | 67.3%35 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 3.5this page
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5Under won
- Hamarkameratene vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Hamarkameratene (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
- Spread: Lillestrøm SK (-1.5)Hamarkameratene won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.