WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eac423e351d2ceb00f78530195176e4780fa6c8c2e4e7781fc9315ba8e017cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,007
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,007 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 15,625$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,124.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 11,342$5,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,897.84 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 5,258$2,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,632.15 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…e298backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 3,815$1,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 1,756$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.05 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 65c | 1,557$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.21 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 1,554$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.32 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Chicago Sky | 42c | 1,368$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,224$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.49 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e88…b18cbacked Chicago Sky | 53c | 1,190$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Chicago Sky | 30c | 889.99$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.9 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 811.38$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.8 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 570.03$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.39 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 413.72$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.03 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 386.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 374.14$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.4 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 341$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.73 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 209.25$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 180.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.01 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…c997backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 150$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…f43fbacked Chicago Sky | 40c | 129.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 127.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 117.7$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa696…45cfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 91.76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Chicago Sky | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 59.88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 51.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.34 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 36.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 34.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa68…6b18backed Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 31.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.