WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020d7e2908c37aa50c634f0c7f8369f1556ad4a27e5a0312f703188abe42b598
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 50c | 60,158$30,282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,282.18 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 50c | 17,976$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,072.64 | 1,820 | 51.7%941 W · 879 L | +54.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Over | 50c | 13,069$6,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,534.3 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 6,467$3,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.49 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 4,808$2,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…b6d0backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 3,562$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.37 | 923 | 49.2%454 W · 469 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 2,584$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,292 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Over | 50c | 1,736$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.82 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.28 | 486 | 46.9%228 W · 258 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 50c | 952.45$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.23 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 79c | 904.8$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.64 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Over | 50c | 504.75$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.38 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Under | 52c | 384.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 275.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 954 | 48.1%459 W · 495 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 251.5$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 140 | 39.3%55 W · 85 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 49c | 208.73$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.45 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 49c | 189.87$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.94 | 340 | 48.2%164 W · 176 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 131.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 50c | 126.66$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed Over | 50c | 91.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.77 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 50c | 57.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 858 | 58.3%500 W · 358 L | +69.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 50c | 46.35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…0f4cbacked Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Over | 50c | 33.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5e…95e3backed Under | 44c | 28.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…5509backed Under | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…effbbacked Under | 50c | 28.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 50c | 27.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 54c | 27.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Over | 52c | 23.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.