WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a804c48bf3b4de3cf856369884054a948b7cededf01654e41470748aff50c5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Over | 51c | 2,314$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.91 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 626.14$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.71 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 44c | 333.99$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 57c | 207.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Under | 47c | 185.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 43c | 162.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Over | 54c | 137.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.78 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 56c | 134$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Under | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 45c | 95.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…681dbacked Over | 57c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…ba5dbacked Over | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 54c | 36.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 50c | 22.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago SkyLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 180.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.