Asian League · resolved market
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f1607b8ff5104add8f2c1352df7e9aef2046ff3ac17892b32e64407edfc42b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 2,995$1,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.92 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 38c | 2,221$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.24 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 2,096$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.88 | 243 | 23%56 W · 187 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 42c | 1,685$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 57c | 1,134$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.94 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x274b…d408backed Over | 43c | 920.68$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.73 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 43c | 672.4$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.94 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Over | 38c | 640.59$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 508.4$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 6c | 477.65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 28c | 347.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Over | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 40c | 299$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 93 | 25.8%24 W · 69 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 48c | 297.95$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.02 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 43c | 269.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.4 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 41c | 199.12$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Under | 52c | 161.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 125.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 61c | 120.28$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa295…98bcbacked Over | 44c | 104.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Under | 53c | 101.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 182 | 56%102 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7469…cbc5backed Under | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed Over | 41c | 81.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.58 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Over | 43c | 70.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 57c | 69.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 57c | 69.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.07 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 46c | 65.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 64c | 60.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd59…2e2fbacked Over | 41c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7075…0a8dbacked Over | 24c | 58.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6f…0cf2backed Over | 21c | 57.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -59%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 58c | 51.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4619…2108backed Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 54c | 47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 88 | 34.1%30 W · 58 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 41c | 44.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.34 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 46c | 41.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 37c | 37.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 43c | 35.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf613…b2d4backed Under | 69c | 34.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x807a…3be2backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…39b5backed Over | 43c | 28.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 38c | 26.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 96 | 72.9%70 W · 26 L | +19.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +145.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 25.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 74c | 15.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5)Dalian Yingbo FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
- Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5)Chongqing Tonglianglong FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.